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Q.The probability of a shooter hitting a target is 34\dfrac{3}{4}. Find the minimum number of times he/she must fire so that the probability of hitting the target at least once is more than 0.990.99.

Odisha ChseOdisha CHSE +2 Science Board Exam 2020Subjective· 6mImportance★★★★★
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Solving 1−(1/4)n>0.991-(1/4)^n>0.99 gives n>3.32n>3.32, so the minimum whole number of shots is 44.

Let p=34p=\dfrac34 be the probability of hitting in one shot, so q=14q=\dfrac14 is the probability of missing.

P(at least one hit in n shots)=1−qn=1−(14)n.P(\text{at least one hit in }n\text{ shots})=1-q^n=1-\left(\dfrac14\right)^n.

We need this >0.99>0.99:

1−(14)n>0.99 ⟹ (14)n<0.01.1-\left(\dfrac14\right)^n>0.99\ \Longrightarrow\ \left(\dfrac14\right)^n<0.01.

Check n=3n=3: (14)3=164≈0.01563>0.01\left(\dfrac14\right)^3=\dfrac1{64}\approx0.01563>0.01 — not enough (gives P≈0.984<0.99P\approx0.984<0.99).

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