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Exercise 14.2 · Q1
Q.

Which of the following cannot be valid assignment of probabilities for outcomes of sample space S={ω1,ω2,ω3,ω4,ω5,ω6,ω7}S = \{\omega_1, \omega_2, \omega_3, \omega_4, \omega_5, \omega_6, \omega_7\}.

Assignmentω1\omega_1ω2\omega_2ω3\omega_3ω4\omega_4ω5\omega_5ω6\omega_6ω7\omega_7
(a)0.10.10.010.010.050.050.030.030.010.010.20.20.60.6
(b)17\frac{1}{7}17\frac{1}{7}17\frac{1}{7}17\frac{1}{7}17\frac{1}{7}17\frac{1}{7}17\frac{1}{7}
(c)0.10.10.20.20.30.30.40.40.50.50.60.60.70.7
(d)−0.1-0.10.20.20.30.30.40.4−0.2-0.20.10.10.30.3
(e)114\frac{1}{14}214\frac{2}{14}314\frac{3}{14}414\frac{4}{14}514\frac{5}{14}614\frac{6}{14}1514\frac{15}{14}
Andaman Nicobar CbseNCERTSubjective· 3mImportance★★★★★est
17% · 16/93 Questions
✓ Free question

A valid probability assignment must satisfy two axioms: each probability is between 0 and 1, and the sum of all probabilities equals 1. Assignments (c), (d), and (e) violate one or both of these rules.

The question asks which of the given assignments cannot be a valid probability distribution over the seven outcomes. This is a direct application of the Kolmogorov probability axioms — the two that matter here are:

  1. Non-negativity: For every outcome ωi\omega_i, P(ωi)≥0P(\omega_i) \ge 0.
  2. Normalization: The sum of probabilities over the entire sample space equals 1: ∑i=17P(ωi)=1\sum_{i=1}^7 P(\omega_i) = 1.

A third axiom (countable additivity) is automatically satisfied for a finite sample space if the sum condition holds. So we simply check each assignment against these two rules.

Let’s go through them one by one.

  1. Assignment (a): 0.1,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.2,0.60.1, 0.01, 0.05, 0.03, 0.01, 0.2, 0.6

    All values are non-negative. Sum:

    0.1+0.01=0.110.1 + 0.01 = 0.11

    +0.05=0.16+ 0.05 = 0.16

    +0.03=0.19+ 0.03 = 0.19

    +0.01=0.20+ 0.01 = 0.20

    +0.2=0.40+ 0.2 = 0.40

    +0.6=1.00+ 0.6 = 1.00

    Sum is exactly 1. So (a) is valid.

  2. Assignment (b): 17\frac{1}{7} each

    All are positive. Sum = 7×17=17 \times \frac{1}{7} = 1. Valid.

  3. Assignment (c): 0.1,0.2,0.3,0.4,0.5,0.6,0.70.1, 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, 0.5, 0.6, 0.7

    All non-negative. Sum: 0.1+0.2=0.30.1+0.2=0.3, +0.3=0.6+0.3=0.6, +0.4=1.0+0.4=1.0, +0.5=1.5+0.5=1.5, +0.6=2.1+0.6=2.1, +0.7=2.8+0.7=2.8.

    The sum is 2.82.8, far greater than 1. This violates normalization. So (c) is invalid.

  4. Assignment (d): −0.1,0.2,0.3,0.4,−0.2,0.1,0.3-0.1, 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, -0.2, 0.1, 0.3

    Here ω1\omega_1 has probability −0.1-0.1 and ω5\omega_5 has −0.2-0.2 — both negative. This violates non-negativity. Even if we ignore that, the sum:

    (−0.1)+0.2=0.1(-0.1)+0.2=0.1, +0.3=0.4+0.3=0.4, +0.4=0.8+0.4=0.8, +(−0.2)=0.6+(-0.2)=0.6, +0.1=0.7+0.1=0.7, +0.3=1.0+0.3=1.0 — the sum happens to be 1, but the negative entries alone make it invalid. So (d) is invalid.

  5. Assignment (e): 114,214,314,414,514,614,1514\frac{1}{14}, \frac{2}{14}, \frac{3}{14}, \frac{4}{14}, \frac{5}{14}, \frac{6}{14}, \frac{15}{14}

    All are non-negative. Sum: numerator sum = 1+2+3+4+5+6+15=361+2+3+4+5+6+15 = 36, so total = 3614=187≈2.571\frac{36}{14} = \frac{18}{7} \approx 2.571, which is not 1. Also note that 1514>1\frac{15}{14} > 1, which is not allowed either — a probability cannot exceed 1. So (e) is invalid on two counts.

Watch out

A common mistake is to only check the sum and forget that each individual probability must lie in [0,1][0,1]. Assignment (d) passes the sum test but fails the non-negativity test. Also, a probability greater than 1 (like 1514\frac{15}{14} in (e)) is automatically invalid.

Tip

When checking quickly, first scan for negative numbers or values > 1 — that instantly eliminates some options. Then sum the rest. Here, (c) and (e) fail the sum test, (d) fails the non-negativity test.

Thus, the assignments that cannot be valid are (c), (d), and (e).

✓Final answer

The assignments that cannot be valid are (c), (d), and (e).

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