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Exercise 14.2 · Q9

Q.If 211\frac{2}{11} is the probability of an event A, what is the probability of the event 'not A'.

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When an event has probability 211\frac{2}{11}, its complement must account for the remaining probability; the probability of 'not A' is 911\boxed{\frac{9}{11}}.

The foundation here is one of the most fundamental rules in probability: the sum of probabilities of an event and its complement equals 1. This makes intuitive sense—every outcome in the sample space either belongs to event AA or to 'not AA', with no overlap and no gaps. The total probability must be distributed between these two exhaustive, mutually exclusive possibilities.

When we say P(A)=211P(A) = \frac{2}{11}, we're saying that out of all possible outcomes (weighted by their probabilities), event AA accounts for 211\frac{2}{11} of the total. The event 'not AA'—often written as A′A' or AcA^c—captures everything else.

Finding the complement probability

  1. Start with the complement rule. For any event AA:

P(A)+P(not A)=1P(A) + P(\text{not } A) = 1

This is sometimes called the law of total probability for complements.

  1. Substitute the given probability. We know P(A)=211P(A) = \frac{2}{11}, so: 211+P(not A)=1\frac{2}{11} + P(\text{not } A) = 1 …

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