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Exercises · Q3

Q.Explain the additive and multiplicative models used to describe a time series. When is each considered appropriate?

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A time series' four components — Trend (TT), Seasonal (SS), Cyclical (CC), and Irregular (II) variation — can be combined in two classical ways.

Additive model:

Y=T+S+C+IY = T + S + C + I

Here all four components are expressed in the same original units as YY, and they are assumed to act independently of each other, so the absolute size of the seasonal and cyclical swings stays roughly the same regardless of whether the trend level is high or low. This model is appropriate when a plotted series shows fluctuations of roughly constant absolute width around the trend, whatever the trend's level.

Multiplicative model:

Y=T×S×C×IY = T \times S \times C \times I …

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