Q.Events A and B are such that P(A)=21, P(B)=127 and P(not A or not B) = 41. State whether A and B are independent ?
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Event Independence
Two events are independent when the occurrence of one does not change the probability of the other. Toss a coin and roll a die: the coin landing heads tells you nothing about whether the die shows a six. Contrast this with drawing cards without replacement, where the first draw does change the odds for the second — those events are dependent.
From Conditional Probability to a Clean Test
"Knowing B doesn't change A" means P(A∣B)=P(A). Substituting the definition P(A∣B)=P(B)P(A∩B) and clearing the fraction gives the symmetric form used in practice:
P(A∩B)=P(A)P(B).
Events A and B are independent exactly when the probability of both occurring equals the product of their individual probabilities. This version is preferred because it needs no non-zero condition and treats A and B alike.
A Quick Check
Roll a fair die. Let A={2,4,6} (even) and B={4,5,6} (greater than 3). Then P(A)=P(B)=21, and A∩B={4,6} so P(A∩B)=31. Since 31=21⋅21=41, these events are not independent.
Three or More Events
Events A,B,C are mutually independent only if all four conditions hold: the three pairwise products and
P(A∩B∩C)=P(A)P(B)P(C).
Pairwise independence alone is not enough to guarantee mutual independence. …
Concept: Event Independence — Two events are independent iff P(A∩B)=P(A)⋅P(B).
Step 1: Use the given P(not A or not B)=41. By De Morgan’s law, not A or not B=A∩B, so
P(A∩B)=41.
Step 2: Hence P(A∩B)=1−41=43.
Step 3: Compute P(A)⋅P(B)=21⋅127=247. …
"not A or not B" is A′∪B′=(A∩B)′, so P(A∩B)=1−41=43. Since P(A)⋅P(B)=247=43=P(A∩B), the events A and B are not independent.
1. Use the given probability. By De Morgan's law,
not A or not B=A′∪B′=(A∩B)′.
Hence
P(A∩B)=1−P((A∩B)′)=1−41=43.
2. Compute P(A)⋅P(B).
P(A)⋅P(B)=21×127=247. …
Method: Deciding independence from union/complement data
When a question gives P(A), P(B) and a compound probability (like "not A or not B") and asks whether the events are independent, the technique is: recover P(A∩B) first, then apply the product test.
Steps
Step 1: Simplify the given compound event to an intersection or its complement.
Translate the words with De Morgan. For example "not A or not B" is
A′∪B′=(A∩B)′,soP(A∩B)=1−P(A′∪B′).
Step 2: Compute the product P(A)P(B).
This is what the intersection would equal if the events were independent. …
Common Mistakes
Mistake 1: Misreading "not A or not B" as (A∪B)′.
Why it's wrong: De Morgan gives A′∪B′=(A∩B)′, so it equals 1−P(A∩B) — that is what lets you recover P(A∩B). Confusing it with (A∪B)′ produces the wrong intersection and a wrong verdict.
Mistake 2: Declaring the events independent (or not) without actually comparing P(A∩B) with P(A)P(B). …
- GUJCET 2023Set 091 markMCQQ.For independent events A and B P(A)=P, P(B)=21 and P(A∪B)=53, then P= ______. (A) 101 (B) 51 (C) 21 (D) 52
›Reveal solutionSolution
For independent events, P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A)P(B).
Concept: With P(A)=P, P(B)=21 independent:
P(A∪B)=P+21−2P=2P+21=53. …
- GUJCET 2024Set 131 markMCQQ.If, for independent events A and B, P(A)=p, P(B)=21 and P(A∪B)=53 are given then, the value of p is __________. (A) 31 (B) 10−1 (C) 53 (D) 51
›Reveal solutionSolution
For independent events, P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A)P(B).
Steps. With P(A)=p, P(B)=21, P(A∪B)=53: …
- GUJCET 2020Set 071 markMCQQ.If A and B are independent events such that P(A)=p, P(B)=2p and P(Exactly one of A and B)=95 then p= ________. (A) 31,125 (B) 21,43 (C) 121,35 (D) 152,125
›Reveal solutionSolution
For independent events, P(exactly one)=P(A)+P(B)−2P(A)P(B).
Concept: With P(A)=p, P(B)=2p, independence gives P(A∩B)=2p2.
P(exactly one)=p+2p−2(2p2)=3p−4p2=95.
Multiply by 9: 36p2−27p+5=0.
p=7227±729−720=7227±3. …
- GUJCET 2025Set 031 markMCQQ.Two events E and F are independent. If P(E)=53 and P(F)=103 then P(E′/F)+P(F′/E)= _____. (A) 101 (B) 1011 (C) 109 (D) 1110
›Reveal solutionSolution
Independence gives P(E′∣F)=P(E′) and P(F′∣E)=P(F′).
P(E′)=1−53=52, P(F′)=1−103=107. …
- GSEB Higher Secondary Certificate (HSC) Examination 2026Set ANNUAL1 markMCQQ.If P(A)=3/5, P(B)=4/9, and A and B are independent events, then P(A′∩B′)= ____.(a) 4/15(b) 8/45(c) 1/3(d) 2/9
›Reveal solutionSolution
For independent events, A′ and B′ are also independent, so P(A′∩B′)=P(A′)P(B′).
P(A′)=1−53=52, P(B′)=1−94=95.
…
- GSEB Higher Secondary Certificate (HSC) Examination 2019Set ANNUAL1 markMCQQ.Let A and B be two events such that P(A)=0.4, P(A∪B)=0.6 and P(B)=p. For which choice of p, A and B are independent?(a) 31(b) 21(c) 43(d) 65
›Reveal solutionSolution
Independence means P(A∩B)=P(A)P(B); substitute into the union formula and solve for p.
P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A)P(B)⇒0.6=0.4+p−0.4p=0.4+0.6p. …
- GSEB Higher Secondary Certificate (HSC) Examination 2018Set ANNUAL1 markMCQQ.If A and B are independent events, P(A)=0.1 and P(B)=0.9 then, P(A∪B)= ___.(a) 0.91(b) 0.09(c) 0.99(d) 0.90
›Reveal solutionSolution
Use inclusion–exclusion with P(A∩B)=P(A)P(B) for independent events.
P(A∩B)=P(A)P(B)=0.1×0.9=0.09.
…
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