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Question 44 of 67

Q.Read the following text carefully from ‘The Economic Times’ dated 8th June, 2023 : “The Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI’s) rate setting panel unanimously decided to keep the benchmark lending rate unchanged at 6·5%. The committee voted to remain focused on the withdrawal of accommodating monetary policy.” On the basis of given text and common understanding, answer the following questions :

(a) Identify and discuss the economic issue indicated in the above text.
(b) Discuss the likely consequence on money supply if the rate setting panel would have decreased the said rate.
Jammu Kashmir JkboseCBSE Class XII Board 2024Subjective· 4mImportance★★★★★
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The text indicates the RBI's focus on controlling inflation through a tight monetary policy stance. If the benchmark lending rate were decreased, it would lead to an expansion of the money supply by making borrowing cheaper.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) uses monetary policy to manage the economy, primarily focusing on price stability (controlling inflation) while also considering economic growth. The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is responsible for setting the key policy rates. The "benchmark lending rate" mentioned in the text refers to the Repo Rate, which is the rate at which commercial banks borrow money from the RBI for short-term needs.

(a) Identify and discuss the economic issue indicated in the above text.

The economic issue indicated in the text is the management of inflation through monetary policy.

The RBI's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) decided to keep the benchmark lending rate (Repo Rate) unchanged at 6.5%6.5\%. This decision, coupled with the stated focus on "withdrawal of accommodating monetary policy," signals that the RBI is primarily concerned with controlling inflation.

Note

Accommodating monetary policy refers to a stance where the central bank aims to stimulate economic growth by keeping interest rates low and increasing money supply. Withdrawal of accommodating monetary policy means the central bank is reversing this stance, typically by raising interest rates or keeping them high, to curb inflation.

Here's a discussion of the issue:

  • Inflationary Concerns: When the RBI decides to maintain a high interest rate and withdraw accommodation, it implies that inflation is either currently high or there are significant upside risks to inflation. High inflation erodes the purchasing power of money, makes goods and services more expensive, and can create economic uncertainty, negatively impacting savings and investment decisions.
  • Monetary Policy Stance: The decision to keep the rate unchanged at 6.5%6.5\% (which is relatively high compared to previous accommodative periods) and to focus on "withdrawal of accommodating monetary policy" indicates a tight monetary policy stance. This means the RBI is prioritizing price stability over stimulating immediate economic growth. By keeping borrowing costs high, the RBI aims to reduce aggregate demand in the economy, which in turn helps to cool down inflationary pressures.
  • Impact on Economic Activity: A tight monetary policy, while effective in controlling inflation, can also slow down economic growth. Higher interest rates make it more expensive for businesses to borrow for investment and for consumers to borrow for consumption (e.g., home loans, car loans). This can lead to reduced investment, lower consumption, and potentially slower job creation. The MPC's unanimous decision suggests a strong consensus on the need to tackle inflation, even if it means some trade-off with growth in the short term.

(b) Discuss the likely consequence on money supply if the rate setting panel would have decreased the said rate.

If the rate setting panel (MPC) had decreased the benchmark lending rate (Repo Rate), it would likely lead to an increase in the money supply in the economy.

Here's the mechanism:

  1. Lower Cost for Commercial Banks: A decrease in the Repo Rate means that commercial banks can borrow funds from the RBI at a lower cost. This reduces their cost of funds.
  2. Reduced Lending Rates: With lower borrowing costs, commercial banks are incentivized to reduce their own lending rates (e.g., interest rates on home loans, business loans, personal loans) to attract more borrowers and maintain their profit margins.
  3. Increased Borrowing and Investment: …

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