Q.Events A and B are such that P(A)=21, P(B)=127 and P(not A or not B) = 41. State whether A and B are independent ?
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Event Independence
Two events are independent when the occurrence of one does not change the probability of the other. Toss a coin and roll a die: the coin landing heads tells you nothing about whether the die shows a six. Contrast this with drawing cards without replacement, where the first draw does change the odds for the second — those events are dependent.
From Conditional Probability to a Clean Test
"Knowing B doesn't change A" means P(A∣B)=P(A). Substituting the definition P(A∣B)=P(B)P(A∩B) and clearing the fraction gives the symmetric form used in practice:
P(A∩B)=P(A)P(B).
Events A and B are independent exactly when the probability of both occurring equals the product of their individual probabilities. This version is preferred because it needs no non-zero condition and treats A and B alike.
A Quick Check
Roll a fair die. Let A={2,4,6} (even) and B={4,5,6} (greater than 3). Then P(A)=P(B)=21, and A∩B={4,6} so P(A∩B)=31. Since 31=21⋅21=41, these events are not independent.
Three or More Events
Events A,B,C are mutually independent only if all four conditions hold: the three pairwise products and
P(A∩B∩C)=P(A)P(B)P(C).
Pairwise independence alone is not enough to guarantee mutual independence. …
Concept: Event Independence — Two events are independent iff P(A∩B)=P(A)⋅P(B).
Step 1: Use the given P(not A or not B)=41. By De Morgan’s law, not A or not B=A∩B, so
P(A∩B)=41.
Step 2: Hence P(A∩B)=1−41=43.
Step 3: Compute P(A)⋅P(B)=21⋅127=247. …
"not A or not B" is A′∪B′=(A∩B)′, so P(A∩B)=1−41=43. Since P(A)⋅P(B)=247=43=P(A∩B), the events A and B are not independent.
1. Use the given probability. By De Morgan's law,
not A or not B=A′∪B′=(A∩B)′.
Hence
P(A∩B)=1−P((A∩B)′)=1−41=43.
2. Compute P(A)⋅P(B).
P(A)⋅P(B)=21×127=247. …
Method: Deciding independence from union/complement data
When a question gives P(A), P(B) and a compound probability (like "not A or not B") and asks whether the events are independent, the technique is: recover P(A∩B) first, then apply the product test.
Steps
Step 1: Simplify the given compound event to an intersection or its complement.
Translate the words with De Morgan. For example "not A or not B" is
A′∪B′=(A∩B)′,soP(A∩B)=1−P(A′∪B′).
Step 2: Compute the product P(A)P(B).
This is what the intersection would equal if the events were independent. …
Common Mistakes
Mistake 1: Misreading "not A or not B" as (A∪B)′.
Why it's wrong: De Morgan gives A′∪B′=(A∩B)′, so it equals 1−P(A∩B) — that is what lets you recover P(A∩B). Confusing it with (A∪B)′ produces the wrong intersection and a wrong verdict.
Mistake 2: Declaring the events independent (or not) without actually comparing P(A∩B) with P(A)P(B). …
- KEAM 2025Set eng-2025-04294 marksMCQQ.If A and B are two independent events and P(A′)=0.8, P(B)=0.6, then P(A∪B) is equal to (A) 0.86 (B) 0.8 (C) 0.68 (D) 0.52 (E) 0.48
›Reveal solutionSolution
P(A)=1−P(A′)=0.2; for independent events P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A)P(B)=0.68.
First, P(A)=1−P(A′)=1−0.8=0.2.
For independent events, P(A∩B)=P(A)P(B)=0.2×0.6=0.12.
By the addition rule: …
- KEAM 2024Set eng-2024-06084 marksMCQQ.If A and B are two independent events such that P(A)=0.4 and P(A∪B)=0.7, then P(B) is equal to (A) 0.3 (B) 0.4 (C) 0.5 (D) 0.6 (E) 0.7
›Reveal solutionSolution
Using independence, 0.7=0.4+P(B)−0.4P(B)=0.4+0.6P(B), so P(B)=0.5.
For independent events A and B, P(A∩B)=P(A)P(B), so
P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A)P(B).
Substituting: …
- KEAM 2023Set eng-2023-P2-B24 marksMCQQ.Let A and B be two independent events such that the odds in favour of A and B are 1:1 and 3:2, respectively. Then the probability that only one of the two occurs is (A) 0.6 (B) 0.7 (C) 0.8 (D) 0.5 (E) 0.4
›Reveal solutionSolution
P(exactly one) = 0.5·0.4 + 0.5·0.6 = 0.5.
Concept and Intuition
For independent events, P(exactly one) = P(A)P(B') + P(A')P(B). Convert the odds to probabilities first.
Step-by-Step Solution
- Odds A = 1:1 ⇒ P(A) = 1/2; odds B = 3:2 ⇒ P(B) = 3/5 = 0.6.
- Exactly one = P(A)(1−P(B)) + (1−P(A))P(B). …
- KEAM 2023Set eng-2023-P2-B24 marksMCQQ.Consider two independent events E and F such that P(E)=41, P(E∪F)=52 and P(F)=a. Then, the value of a is (A) 2013 (B) 201 (C) 41 (D) 51 (E) 53
›Reveal solutionSolution
Independence gives P(E∪F) = 1/4 + (3/4)a = 2/5, so a = 1/5.
Concept and Intuition
For independent events, P(E∪F) = P(E) + P(F) − P(E)P(F). Substitute and solve for a.
Step-by-Step Solution
- P(E∪F) = P(E) + P(F) − P(E)P(F) = 1/4 + a − (1/4)a.
- = 1/4 + (3/4)a = 2/5.
- (3/4)a = 2/5 − 1/4 = 3/20.
- a = (3/20)·(4/3) = 1/5. …
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