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Mathematics and Statistics · Ch 16 — Probability Distributions

Introduction to the Normal Distribution

7

Introduction to the Normal Distribution

The normal distribution is the most important continuous distribution in statistics. Heights, weights, measurement errors, examination marks and many natural and economic quantities are found to be approximately normally distributed, and — through the Central Limit Theorem — averages of large samples tend to be normal whatever the original distribution. Its graph is the familiar symmetric bell-shaped curve.

Pictured on a horizontal XX-axis, the curve rises to a single peak directly above the mean μ\mu and falls away in mirror image on either side, so a vertical line through x=μx=\mu is its axis of symmetry; both tails approach the axis without ever touching it. Reading outward from the centre, the curve encloses the areas described by the empirical (68–95–99.7) rule: the band from μ−σ\mu-\sigma to μ+σ\mu+\sigma holds about 68%68\% of the total area, the wider band from μ−2σ\mu-2\sigma to μ+2σ\mu+2\sigma about 95%95\%, and the band from μ−3σ\mu-3\sigma to μ+3σ\mu+3\sigma about 99.7%99.7\% — so almost all of the distribution lies within three standard deviations of the mean, with each successive band adding a thinner slice of area near the tails.

A continuous variable XX follows a normal distribution with mean μ\mu and variance σ2\sigma^2, written X∼N(μ,σ2)X \sim N(\mu, \sigma^2), if its density is

f(x)=1σ2π e−(x−μ)22σ2,−∞<x<∞.f(x) = \frac{1}{\sigma\sqrt{2\pi}}\, e^{-\frac{(x-\mu)^2}{2\sigma^2}}, \qquad -\infty < x < \infty.

Note

Key properties of the normal curve

  • It is symmetric about the mean μ\mu; the curve is bell-shaped and extends indefinitely on both sides without touching the axis.
  • Mean == median == mode =μ= \mu, all at the centre; the total area under the curve is 11.
  • Its spread is governed by σ\sigma: a larger σ\sigma gives a flatter, wider curve.
  • Empirical (68–95–99.7) rule: about 68%68\% of the area lies within μ±σ\mu \pm \sigma, about 95%95\% within μ±2σ\mu \pm 2\sigma, and about 99.7%99.7\% within μ±3σ\mu \pm 3\sigma.
Note

Standard normal variable ZZ

Any normal variable is converted to the standard normal variable Z∼N(0,1)Z \sim N(0,1) (mean 00, variance 11) by the transformation

Z=X−μσ.Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}.

Probabilities for XX are then read as areas under the standard normal curve using a ZZ-table. Because of symmetry, P(Z<0)=P(Z>0)=0.5P(Z < 0) = P(Z > 0) = 0.5. …

Definition 14Normal distribution $N(\mu,\sigma^2)$

A continuous, symmetric, bell-shaped distribution with mean μ\mu and variance σ2\sigma^2; mean == median == mode $=\mu …

Definition 15Standard normal variable $Z$

Z=X−μσ∼N(0,1)Z=\dfrac{X-\mu}{\sigma}\sim N(0,1); used with a ZZ-table to compute normal probabilities as ar …

Definition 16Empirical (68–95–99.7) rule

For a normal curve, about 68%68\%, 95%95\% and 99.7%99.7\% of the area lie within μ±σ\mu\pm\sigma, μ±2σ\mu\pm2\sigma and $\mu\pm …