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Exercises · Q14

Q.In the above example, if exports change to X=100X = 100, find the change in equilibrium income and the net export balance.

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Using the economy of Question 13, a rise in exports from 9090 to 100100 (ΔX=10\Delta X = 10) is magnified by the open-economy multiplier 11−c+m=4\frac{1}{1 - c + m} = 4. Equilibrium income rises by ΔY=40\Delta Y = 40 (from 560560 to 600600), and the net export balance rises from 1212 to 2020.

This question builds directly on Question 13, whose economy is

C=40+0.8 YD,T=50,I=60,G=40,X=90,M=50+0.05YC = 40 + 0.8\,Y_D, \quad T = 50, \quad I = 60, \quad G = 40, \quad X = 90, \quad M = 50 + 0.05Y

where disposable income is YD=Y−TY_D = Y - T. There, equilibrium income was found by setting output equal to planned expenditure, Y=C+I+G+X−MY = C + I + G + X - M, which gives Y=140+0.75YY = 140 + 0.75Y and hence Y∗=560Y^{*} = 560, with a net export balance of X−M=90−(50+0.05×560)=90−78=12X - M = 90 - (50 + 0.05 \times 560) = 90 - 78 = 12.

The change we are asked about

Exports rise from X=90X = 90 to X=100X = 100. Exports are an autonomous component of aggregate demand (they depend on foreign income, not on domestic income), so this is a pure autonomous shock of size

ΔX=100−90=10\Delta X = 100 - 90 = 10

The open-economy multiplier

An autonomous injection does not raise income only by its own size; through induced consumption it raises income by a multiple of it. In this open economy each extra rupee of income leaks partly into saving and partly into imports, so the multiplier is

ΔYΔX=11−c+m=11−0.8+0.05=10.25=4\frac{\Delta Y}{\Delta X} = \frac{1}{1 - c + m} = \frac{1}{1 - 0.8 + 0.05} = \frac{1}{0.25} = 4

Here c=0.8c = 0.8 is the marginal propensity to consume and m=0.05m = 0.05 is the marginal propensity to import; because taxes are a lump sum, they do not enter the multiplier.

Change in equilibrium income

ΔY=11−c+m×ΔX=4×10=40\Delta Y = \frac{1}{1 - c + m} \times \Delta X = 4 \times 10 = 40 …

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