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Q.Bag I contains 4 red balls and 7 white balls. Bag II contains 5 red balls and 6 white balls. One of the bags is chosen at random and a ball is drawn from it. Find the probability of drawing:

(i) a red ball.
(ii) a white ball. Which ball is more likely to be drawn?
Punjab PsebPSEB Punjab Class 12 Board 2026Subjective· 4mImportance★★★★★
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Use the law of total probability: average the conditional probability of each outcome over the two equally-likely bag choices.

Let E1E_1 = choosing Bag I, E2E_2 = choosing Bag II, each with probability 12\frac12.

Bag I: 4 red, 7 white (11 total). Bag II: 5 red, 6 white (11 total).

  1. Probability of drawing a red ball: P(red)=P(E1)P(red∣E1)+P(E2)P(red∣E2)=12⋅411+12⋅511=12(911)=922P(\text{red}) = P(E_1)P(\text{red}|E_1) + P(E_2)P(\text{red}|E_2) = \frac12\cdot\frac{4}{11} + \frac12\cdot\frac{5}{11} = \frac12\left(\frac{9}{11}\right) = \frac{9}{22}
  2. Probability of drawing a white ball: …

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