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Mathematics · Ch 12 — Introduction to Probability Theory

Classical Definition (A Priori) of Probability

12.4.1

Classical Definition (A Priori) of Probability

Classical (a priori) definition -- Bernoulli's principle of equally likely outcomes. The basic assumption underlying the classical theory is that every outcome of the random experiment is equally likely. If an experiment has nn exhaustive, mutually exclusive, and equally likely outcomes, and mm of them are favourable to an event AA, then the (classical, mathematical) probability of AA is defined as the ratio mn\dfrac{m}{n}. Formally (Definition 12.13):

P(A)=n(A)n(S)=Number of cases favourable to AExhaustive number of cases in S,P(A)=\frac{n(A)}{n(S)}=\frac{\text{Number of cases favourable to } A}{\text{Exhaustive number of cases in } S},

where n(S)n(S) and n(A)n(A) are the number of elements of SS and AA respectively. This is the 'favourable over total' rule familiar from earlier study of frequency-based probability, now stated formally and given a precise underlying assumption. …