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Question 16 of 39
Q.

Fit a trend line by the method of semi-averages for the given data.

Year2000200120022003200420052006
Production105115120100110125135
Tamil Nadu DgeTamil Nadu HSC (DGE) Commerce Board 2020Subjective· 2mImportance★★★★★
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Omit the middle year (2003), average each half, plot the two semi-averages at the mid-years (2001, 2005), and join them: the trend rises 2.5 units per year.

Method of semi-averages. There are 7 years (2000–2006), an odd number, so the middle year (2003) is omitted and the data split into two equal halves of 3 years each.

Step 1 — first-half average (2000, 2001, 2002).

yˉ1=105+115+1203=3403=113.33,\bar{y}_1 = \frac{105 + 115 + 120}{3} = \frac{340}{3} = 113.33,

plotted against the mid-year 2001.

Step 2 — second-half average (2004, 2005, 2006).

yˉ2=110+125+1353=3703=123.33,\bar{y}_2 = \frac{110 + 125 + 135}{3} = \frac{370}{3} = 123.33,

plotted against the mid-year 2005.

Step 3 — slope (annual trend increase). …

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