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Worked Examples · Example 3

Q.For the probability distribution of XX (the number of heads in two coin tosses) obtained in the previous example, find the mathematical expectation E(X)E(X) and interpret its meaning.

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✓ Free question

Using the distribution obtained earlier:

xix_i012
pip_i14\tfrac{1}{4}12\tfrac{1}{2}14\tfrac{1}{4}

E(X)=∑xipi=0×14+1×12+2×14E(X) = \sum x_i p_i = 0 \times \frac{1}{4} + 1 \times \frac{1}{2} + 2 \times \frac{1}{4}

E(X)=0+0.5+0.5=1E(X) = 0 + 0.5 + 0.5 = 1

Cross-check: computing the same sum as fractions throughout, 0×14=00 \times \tfrac{1}{4} = 0, 1×12=121 \times \tfrac{1}{2} = \tfrac{1}{2}, 2×14=122 \times \tfrac{1}{4} = \tfrac{1}{2}; adding, 0+12+12=10 + \tfrac{1}{2} + \tfrac{1}{2} = 1. Both the decimal and fractional routes agree, confirming E(X)=1E(X) = 1.

Interpretation: E(X)=1E(X) = 1 means that if two coins were tossed a very large number of times and the number of heads recorded each time, the average number of heads per toss would settle very close to 11 — which matches the intuitive symmetry of tossing two fair coins.

✓Final answer

E(X)=1E(X) = 1 head, on average, per toss of two fair coins.

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