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NCERT Exemplar · Q10

Q.Three dice are thrown at the same time. Find the probability of getting three two's, if it is known that the sum of the numbers on the dice was six.

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The problem asks for the probability of getting three twos given that the sum is six. Since three twos sum to six, the event is a subset of the condition. The answer is 110\frac{1}{10}.

Why conditional probability is the right tool

When we say "if it is known that the sum was six", we are restricting the sample space. Instead of all 63=2166^3 = 216 possible outcomes, we only consider those triples (a,b,c)(a,b,c) where a+b+c=6a+b+c = 6, with each die showing 1 to 6. The event "three twos" — that is, (2,2,2)(2,2,2) — is one specific outcome. So the probability becomes:

P(three twos∣sum=6)=number of favourable outcomestotal outcomes in the restricted spaceP(\text{three twos} \mid \text{sum}=6) = \frac{\text{number of favourable outcomes}}{\text{total outcomes in the restricted space}}

The numerator is easy: only one outcome, (2,2,2)(2,2,2). The real work is counting how many ordered triples of dice sum to 6.

Watch out

A common mistake is to treat the dice as indistinguishable. But dice are distinct objects — even if thrown together, the ordered triple (1,2,3)(1,2,3) is different from (3,2,1)(3,2,1). Always count ordered outcomes unless the problem explicitly says otherwise.

Step-by-step solution

  1. Count all ordered triples (a,b,c)(a,b,c) with 1≤a,b,c≤61 \le a,b,c \le 6 and a+b+c=6a+b+c = 6. Since the minimum on each die is 1, let x=a−1x = a-1, y=b−1y = b-1, z=c−1z = c-1. Then x,y,z≥0x,y,z \ge 0 and:

(x+1)+(y+1)+(z+1)=6⇒x+y+z=3(x+1)+(y+1)+(z+1) = 6 \quad\Rightarrow\quad x+y+z = 3

Each of x,y,zx,y,z can be at most 5 (since a≤6a \le 6), but with sum only 3, the upper bound is irrelevant. The number of non-negative integer solutions to x+y+z=3x+y+z = 3 is given by stars-and-bars:

(3+3−13−1)=(52)=10\binom{3+3-1}{3-1} = \binom{5}{2} = 10 …

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