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NCERT Exemplar · Q32

Q.If P(A)=310P(A) = \dfrac{3}{10}, P(B)=25P(B) = \dfrac{2}{5} and P(A∪B)=35P(A \cup B) = \dfrac{3}{5}, then P(B∣A)+P(A∣B)P(B \mid A) + P(A \mid B) equals
(A) 14\dfrac{1}{4}
(B) 13\dfrac{1}{3}
(C) 512\dfrac{5}{12}
(D) 712\dfrac{7}{12}

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Using the addition rule, P(A∩B)=110P(A\cap B)=\tfrac{1}{10}, giving P(B∣A)+P(A∣B)=13+14=712P(B\mid A)+P(A\mid B)=\tfrac13+\tfrac14=\tfrac{7}{12} — option (D).

What we need

Both conditional probabilities depend on the overlap P(A∩B)P(A\cap B), which is not given directly. We recover it from the addition rule.

Step 1 — find P(A∩B)P(A\cap B)

P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B)⇒P(A∩B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∪B).P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)\Rightarrow P(A\cap B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cup B).

Working in tenths (P(A)=310P(A)=\tfrac{3}{10}, P(B)=25=410P(B)=\tfrac25=\tfrac{4}{10}, P(A∪B)=35=610P(A\cup B)=\tfrac35=\tfrac{6}{10}):

P(A∩B)=310+410−610=110.P(A\cap B)=\tfrac{3}{10}+\tfrac{4}{10}-\tfrac{6}{10}=\tfrac{1}{10}.

Step 2 — the two conditional probabilities

P(B∣A)=P(A∩B)P(A)=1/103/10=13,P(A∣B)=P(A∩B)P(B)=1/104/10=14.P(B\mid A)=\frac{P(A\cap B)}{P(A)}=\frac{1/10}{3/10}=\frac13,\qquad P(A\mid B)=\frac{P(A\cap B)}{P(B)}=\frac{1/10}{4/10}=\frac14.

Step 3 — add …

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