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Worked Examples · Example 40

Q.Facing the Pandemic (The Virus Spread): The population of a certain city is 51,20,000. Assume 5000 persons in the city are infected by corona-virus. The virus is so contagious that the number of infected persons doubles every 12 days. If the rate of doubling remains constant, then in how many days will 50% of the population get infected?

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The infected count grows by exponential doubling (a GP in disguise, since each 1212-day period multiplies the count by 22); we solve for the number of 1212-day periods needed to reach half the city's population, then convert to days.

For a quantity that doubles every fixed period TT, starting from N0N_0:

N(t)=N0⋅2t/TN(t) = N_0\cdot 2^{t/T}

Equivalently, after kk doubling periods the count is N0⋅2kN_0\cdot 2^{k}, i.e. the sequence of infected-counts N0,2N0,4N0,…N_0, 2N_0, 4N_0,\ldots is a GP with common ratio 22.

  1. Given: total population =51,20,000=51{,}20{,}000; initially infected N0=5000N_0 = 5000; doubling period T=12T=12 days.
  2. Target: 50%50\% of the population infected:

Ntarget=51,20,0002=25,60,000N_{\text{target}} = \frac{51{,}20{,}000}{2} = 25{,}60{,}000

  1. Set up the doubling equation:

5000×2t/12=25,60,0005000 \times 2^{t/12} = 25{,}60{,}000

  1. Isolate the power of 2: 2t/12=25,60,0005000=5122^{t/12} = \frac{25{,}60{,}000}{5000} = 512 …

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