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Trends in Output Growth in Different Sectors, 1980 – 2015

Country1980 – 90 : AgricultureIndustryService2011 – 2015 : AgricultureIndustryService
India3·17·46·92·358·4
China5·910·813·54·18·18·4
Pakistan47·76·82·73·44·4

Analyse the output growth trend in the three sectors over the given years between India and China.

CBSECBSE Class XII Board 2023Subjective· 4mImportance★★★★★
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China consistently exhibited higher output growth rates across all sectors compared to India in the 1980s, driven significantly by its service and industrial sectors. By 2011-2015, while both countries saw a shift towards service-led growth and a slowdown in agriculture, China maintained higher growth in agriculture and industry, with both countries achieving identical high growth in the service sector.

Analysing output growth trends across different sectors provides crucial insights into the structural transformation of an economy. It reveals which sectors are driving overall economic expansion, how resource allocation might be shifting, and the relative strengths and weaknesses of a country's development strategy over time. By comparing India and China, we can observe divergent and convergent paths in their economic evolution.

Let's examine the output growth trends in agriculture, industry, and service sectors for India and China across the two given periods: 1980-90 and 2011-2015.

1. Output Growth Trends in 1980-90:

  • Agriculture: China's agricultural sector grew at a significantly higher rate of 5.9%5.9\% compared to India's 3.1%3.1\%. This indicates China's stronger initial performance in primary sector output.
  • Industry: China's industrial growth was robust at 10.8%10.8\%, substantially outperforming India's 7.4%7.4\%. This period marked China's aggressive industrialisation drive.
  • Service: China's service sector growth was exceptionally high at 13.5%13.5\%, far exceeding India's 6.9%6.9\%. This suggests that China was already experiencing rapid expansion in its tertiary sector alongside its industrial boom.

In summary, during 1980-90, China demonstrated superior output growth across all three sectors compared to India, with its industrial and service sectors growing at particularly high rates.

2. Output Growth Trends in 2011-2015:

  • Agriculture: China continued to show higher agricultural growth at 4.1%4.1\% compared to India's 2.3%2.3\%. Both countries experienced a slowdown in agricultural growth relative to the earlier period.
  • Industry: China's industrial growth, at 8.1%8.1\%, remained significantly higher than India's 5.0%5.0\%. While both countries saw a deceleration in industrial growth from the 1980s, China maintained a stronger industrial base.
  • Service: Both India and China recorded an identical high growth rate of 8.4%8.4\% in their service sectors. For India, this represented a substantial acceleration from its 1980s performance, indicating a strong shift towards service-led growth. For China, while still high, it was a deceleration from its exceptionally high growth in the 1980s.

3. Comparative Analysis of Trends:

  • Shift in Sectoral Dominance:
    • India: In 1980-90, India's industrial sector (7.4%) was the fastest-growing, closely followed by services (6.9%). By 2011-2015, the service sector (8.4%) clearly emerged as the dominant growth engine, while industrial and agricultural growth slowed down. This reflects India's transition towards a service-oriented economy. …

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