Q.The correlation coefficient between the price of a commodity (X) and its quantity demanded (Y) is computed as . Interpret this result, and state whether it proves that a change in price causes the change in demand.
Step 1 — Read the sign. is negative, so price and quantity demanded move in opposite directions — as price rises, quantity demanded tends to fall (and vice versa), consistent with the general law of demand.
Step 2 — Read the magnitude. falls in the – band, which is classified as a high degree of correlation — the two variables are very strongly (though not perfectly, since ) associated.
Step 3 — The causation caveat. A correlation coefficient, however large, measures only the strength and direction of a statistical association between two variables — it says nothing directly about why they move together. In this specific case, economic theory independently gives a causal mechanism (the law of demand), so it is reasonable to believe price influences demand — but that belief comes from economic reasoning outside the statistic, not from the value itself. In general, a high correlation between two variables can also arise from a third, common underlying factor, or from pure coincidence, so alone is never sufficient proof of causation.
indicates a high degree of negative correlation between price and quantity demanded; it does not, by itself, prove causation.
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