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Question 15 of 42
Q.

Average rain and yield of a crop per acre in the year of an orid region is given:

ParticularsRainfall (cm)Yield of crop (kg)
Mean18970
Standard Deviation238

Correlation coefficient =0.6= 0.6

Obtain Regression line of yield on rain and estimate the yield of the crop if it rains 20 cms.

OR

If n=10n = 10, Σx=130\Sigma x = 130, Σy=220\Sigma y = 220, Σx2=2288\Sigma x^2 = 2288, Σxy=3467\Sigma xy = 3467 obtain regression line of YY on XX and estimate value of YY when X=16X = 16.

Gujarat GsebGujarat Board (GSEB) HSC Commerce Board 2020Subjective· 3mImportance★★★★★
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byx=rSySx=11.4b_{yx} = r\frac{S_y}{S_x} = 11.4; Y^=764.8+11.4X\hat{Y} = 764.8 + 11.4X; at X=20X=20, yield =992.8= 992.8 kg. OR: byx=6070/5980=1.0151b_{yx} = 6070/5980 = 1.0151, Y^=8.80+1.0151X\hat Y = 8.80 + 1.0151X, at X=16X=16, Y^=25.05\hat Y = 25.05.

Main part — regression of yield (YY) on rain (XX).

Given Xˉ=18\bar{X} = 18, Yˉ=970\bar{Y} = 970, SX=2S_X = 2, SY=38S_Y = 38, r=0.6r = 0.6.

Regression coefficient of YY on XX:

byx=r⋅SYSX=0.6×382=0.6×19=11.4b_{yx} = r\cdot\frac{S_Y}{S_X} = 0.6\times\frac{38}{2} = 0.6\times 19 = 11.4

Regression line of YY on XX through the means:

Y^−Yˉ=byx(X−Xˉ)  ⟹  Y^−970=11.4(X−18)\hat{Y} - \bar{Y} = b_{yx}(X - \bar{X}) \implies \hat{Y} - 970 = 11.4(X - 18)

Y^=970+11.4X−205.2=764.8+11.4X\hat{Y} = 970 + 11.4X - 205.2 = 764.8 + 11.4X

Estimate yield when it rains X=20X = 20 cm:

Y^=764.8+11.4(20)=764.8+228=992.8 kg\hat{Y} = 764.8 + 11.4(20) = 764.8 + 228 = 992.8 \text{ kg}

OR — using raw sums (n=10n=10, ∑x=130\sum x = 130, ∑y=220\sum y = 220, ∑x2=2288\sum x^2 = 2288, ∑xy=3467\sum xy = 3467).

xˉ=13,yˉ=22\bar{x} = 13, \qquad \bar{y} = 22 …

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