Statistics · Ch 5 — Probability
The Addition Theorem of Probability
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The Addition Theorem of Probability
The Addition Theorem answers the question: what is the probability that AT LEAST ONE of two events occurs, i.e. ?
General Addition Theorem (for any two events)
The term is subtracted because, if and overlap, simply adding counts every outcome common to both events TWICE.
Special case — mutually exclusive events
If and cannot occur together, , so , and the formula reduces to the simpler:
For three events, the general formula extends to:
Complement rule (used constantly alongside the addition theorem): since an event and its complement are always mutually exclusive and exhaustive,
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Definition 1Addition Theorem and the Complement Rule
General: ; mutually exclusive case: ; complemen …