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Q.The probability that the bomb dropped from a plane over a bridge will hit the bridge is 15\frac{1}{5}. Two bombs are enough to destroy the bridge. If 6 bombs are dropped on the bridge find the probability that the bridge will be destroyed.

Gujarat GsebGujarat Board (GSEB) HSC Commerce Board 2020Subjective· 3mImportance★★★★★
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X∼B(6,1/5)X\sim B(6, 1/5); destroyed if X≥2X\ge 2: P=1−q6−6pq5=1−0.2621−0.3932=0.3446P = 1 - q^6 - 6pq^5 = 1 - 0.2621 - 0.3932 = 0.3446.

Let XX = number of bombs (out of 6) that hit the bridge. Each bomb hits independently with probability p=15p = \dfrac15, so q=45q = \dfrac45, and X∼B(n=6, p=1/5)X \sim B(n=6,\ p=1/5):

P(X=r)=(6r)prq6−rP(X = r) = \binom{6}{r} p^r q^{6-r}

The bridge is destroyed if it is hit by at least 2 bombs. So:

P(destroyed)=P(X≥2)=1−P(X=0)−P(X=1)P(\text{destroyed}) = P(X \ge 2) = 1 - P(X=0) - P(X=1)

Compute the two terms:

P(X=0)=q6=(45)6=409615625=0.262144P(X=0) = q^6 = \left(\frac45\right)^6 = \frac{4096}{15625} = 0.262144 …

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