Q.If A and B are two events such that P(A)=0 and P(B∣A)=1, then (A) A⊂B (B) B⊂A (C) B=ϕ (D) A=ϕ
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🔒 Start your 14-day free trial to unlock the full solution →Concept understanding — Conditional Probability
Conditional Probability
Roll a die and ask "what is the chance of an even number?" — that is 3/6. But suppose someone tells you the result is greater than 3. Now you are no longer looking at all six faces, only at {4,5,6}, and two of those (4 and 6) are even, so the probability becomes 2/3. That change — from the probability of A to the probability of A given that B has already occurred — is conditional probability.
The Idea: Shrink the Sample Space
Conditioning on B throws away every outcome where B is false and treats B as the new "whole world." You measure A only against what is still possible.
Think of filtering a table of data: unconditional probability uses every row; conditional probability keeps only the rows where the condition is true.
The Definition
For events A and B with P(B)>0,
P(A∣B)=P(B)P(A∩B).
We divide by P(B) to rescale so that B itself has probability 1; the surviving part of A is the overlap A∩B. Checking the die: P(A∩B)=P({4,6})=62 and P(B)=63, so P(A∣B)=3/62/6=32, matching the intuition.
Rearranging gives the multiplication rule P(A∩B)=P(A∣B)P(B), which is usually the easier way to compute a joint probability when a problem says "given that."
Two Cautions
- P(A∣B) and P(B∣A) are generally not equal; swapping them is the classic mistake. They are linked by Bayes' theorem, P(A∣B)=P(B)P(B∣A)P(A). …
Concept: Conditional Probability — P(B∣A)=1 means B occurs with certainty given A has occurred.
Step 1:
P(B∣A)=P(A)P(A∩B)=1
⇒P(A∩B)=P(A)
Step 2: …
The condition P(B∣A)=1 means that whenever A occurs, B must occur with certainty. This forces A⊆B, so the correct option is (A).
Why This Works: The Intuition Behind Conditional Probability
Conditional probability P(B∣A) answers the question: If we know A has happened, what is the chance that B also happens? When that probability is exactly 1, it means that every outcome in A is also an outcome in B — there is no part of A that lies outside B.
Think of it this way: if A were a region that extended beyond B, then some outcomes in A would not be in B, and P(B∣A) would be less than 1. The only way to get a perfect 1 is if A is completely contained inside B.
P(B∣A)=P(A)P(A∩B)
This is the definition we will use. Since P(A)=0, division is safe.
Step-by-Step Reasoning
- Write the given condition using the definition. We have P(B∣A)=1. By the formula for conditional probability:
P(A)P(A∩B)=1
- Multiply both sides by P(A). Since P(A)=0, we can multiply through:
P(A∩B)=P(A)
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Interpret this equality.
P(A∩B) is the probability that both A and B occur. P(A) is the probability that A occurs. If these two numbers are equal, it means that every outcome that makes A happen also makes B happen — there is no part of A that occurs without B.
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Translate probability into set theory.
In probability, P(A∩B)=P(A) implies that the event A is essentially a subset of B, except possibly for a set of measure zero. But since we are dealing with events in a standard probability space, this means A⊆B (up to a null set, and for all practical purposes in this problem, exactly A⊆B). …
Method: Reading a conditional-probability value as a set relationship
For multiple-choice questions that state a value of P(B∣A) (or P(A∣B)) and ask what it implies about the events, convert the value back through the definition instead of guessing.
Steps
Step 1: Write the definition and substitute the given value.
P(B∣A)=P(A)P(A∩B).
Setting this equal to 1 (and using P(A)=0) gives P(A∩B)=P(A).
Step 2: Interpret the resulting equation as containment.
P(A∩B)=P(A) says all of A's probability already lies inside B — every outcome of A is an outcome of B — i.e. A⊆B. Keep the direction straight: P(B∣A)=1 constrains A (it forces B), so A sits inside B, not the other way round. …
Common Mistakes
Mistake 1: Concluding B⊂A instead of A⊂B.
Why it's wrong: P(B∣A)=1 means A forces B (every outcome of A lies in B), so A is inside B, not the reverse. Correct approach: from P(A∩B)=P(A), deduce A⊆B — option (A). …
Showing the 12 most recent of 45 on this concept.
- KCET 2025Set A-11 markMCQQ.If A and B are two events such that A⊂B and P(B)=0, then which of the following is correct? (A) P(A∣B)=P(A)P(B) (B) P(A∣B)<P(A) (C) P(A∣B)≥P(A) (D) P(A)=P(B)
›Reveal solutionSolution
Use A⊂B⇒A∩B=A, then note that dividing P(A) by P(B)≤1 cannot make it smaller.
Step 1 — Simplify the intersection.
If every element of A lies in B, then A∩B=A. Hence
P(A∣B)=P(B)P(A∩B)=P(B)P(A).
Step 2 — Compare with P(A).
Every probability satisfies 0<P(B)≤1 (we are told P(B)=0). Therefore P(B)1≥1, and multiplying the non-negative number P(A) by a factor ≥1 gives
P(A∣B)=P(A)⋅P(B)1≥P(A).
Equality holds exactly when P(B)=1 (or when P(A)=0).
Intuition: conditioning on B throws away all outcomes outside B — but none of A lies outside B. So A's share of the shrunken sample space can only grow.
Step 3 — Eliminate. …
- KCET 2025Set A-11 markMCQQ.If A and B are two non-mutually exclusive events such that P(A∣B)=P(B∣A), then (A) A⊂B but A=B (B) A=B (C) A∩B=ϕ (D) P(A)=P(B)
›Reveal solutionSolution
Write both conditional probabilities with the same numerator P(A∩B), cancel it (legal because the events are not mutually exclusive), and the denominators must be equal.
Step 1 — Definition of conditional probability.
P(A∣B)=P(B)P(A∩B),P(B∣A)=P(A)P(B∩A).
Note A∩B=B∩A, so the two fractions share the same numerator.
Step 2 — Impose the given condition.
P(B)P(A∩B)=P(A)P(A∩B).
Step 3 — Cancel — and see why we are allowed to.
The events are non-mutually-exclusive, i.e. A∩B=ϕ and P(A∩B)=0. (This hypothesis is exactly what makes the cancellation valid — if P(A∩B) were 0, both sides would be 0 for any P(A),P(B) and nothing would follow.) Dividing both sides by P(A∩B):
P(B)1=P(A)1⟹P(A)=P(B).
Step 4 — Why the other options are not forced. …
- KCET 2020Set A-11 markMCQQ.If A and B are two events such that P(A)=31, P(B)=21 and P(A∩B)=61, then P(A′/B) is (A) 32 (B) 31 (C) 21 (D) 121
›Reveal solutionSolution
Use P(A′∣B)=1−P(A∣B) (equivalently P(B)P(B)−P(A∩B)), which gives 32.
Step 1 — The definition of conditional probability.
For P(B)>0,
P(A′∣B)=P(B)P(A′∩B)
Conditioning on B means we restrict the sample space to B and ask what fraction of B lies outside A.
Step 2 — Split B into the part inside A and the part outside A.
The events A∩B and A′∩B are disjoint and their union is exactly B:
P(B)=P(A∩B)+P(A′∩B)
⇒P(A′∩B)=P(B)−P(A∩B)=21−61=63−1=62=31
Step 3 — Divide by P(B).
P(A′∣B)=P(B)P(A′∩B)=2131=31×12=32
Step 4 — Cross-check with the complement rule. …
- COMEDK 2024Set 2024-E1 markMCQQ.Let A and B be two events such that P(A/B)=21 and P(B/A)=31 and P(A∩B)=61 then, which one of the following is not true? (A) A and B are not independent (B) P(A∪B)=32 (C) P(A′∩B)=61 (D) A and B are independent
›Reveal solutionSolution
P(A)=21, P(B)=31, and P(A)P(B)=61=P(A∩B), so A,B ARE independent; the false statement is that they are not independent.
From P(A∩B)=P(A∣B)P(B):
61=21P(B)⟹P(B)=31
From P(A∩B)=P(B∣A)P(A):
61=31P(A)⟹P(A)=21
Independence test:
P(A)P(B)=21⋅31=61=P(A∩B)
So A and B are independent. Checking the other options:
P(A∪B)=21+31−61=32(B true) …
- KCET 2022Set C-41 markMCQQ.If A and B are two events such that P(A)=21, P(B)=31 and P(A∣B)=41, then P(A′∩B′) is (A) 3/16 (B) 1/12 (C) 3/4 (D) 1/4
›Reveal solutionSolution
Get P(A∩B) from the conditional probability, use the addition rule for P(A∪B), then apply De Morgan: P(A′∩B′)=1−P(A∪B).
Step 1 — Recover the joint probability from the conditional.
Conditional probability is defined by P(A∣B)=P(B)P(A∩B) — it re-scales the probability of A to the reduced sample space B. Rearranging gives the multiplication rule:
P(A∩B)=P(A∣B)P(B)=41×31=121.
Step 2 — Addition rule for the union.
P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B)=21+31−121.
Taking LCM 12: …
- COMEDK 2025Set 2025-A1 markMCQQ.If for two events A and B,P(A−B)=51 and P(A)=53 then P(B/A)= (A) 32 (B) 21 (C) 53 (D) 52
›Reveal solutionSolution
The key is to interpret P(A−B) as P(A∩Bc) and use the definition of conditional probability. The result is P(B/A)=32, so option (A) is correct.
We are asked for P(B/A), the probability of B given A. The definition is
P(B/A)=P(A)P(A∩B).
We know P(A)=53, so we need P(A∩B). The given P(A−B)=51 is the key: A−B means “A and not B,” i.e., A∩Bc.
- Relate P(A−B) to P(A∩B) Since A is the union of the disjoint parts “A and B” and “A and not B,” we have
P(A)=P(A∩B)+P(A∩Bc).
Here P(A∩Bc)=P(A−B)=51 and P(A)=53.
- Solve for P(A∩B)
53=P(A∩B)+51⇒P(A∩B)=53−51=52.
- Apply the conditional probability formula P(B/A)=P(A)P(A∩B)=3/52/5=32. …
- KCET 2020Set A-11 markMCQQ.Events E1 and E2 form a partition of the sample space S. A is any event such that P(E1)=P(E2)=21, P(E2/A)=21 and P(A/E2)=32, then P(E1/A) is (A) 21 (B) 32 (C) 1 (D) 41
›Reveal solutionSolution
A partition's posterior probabilities must add to 1, so P(E1∣A)=1−P(E2∣A)=1−21=21.
Step 1 — What "partition of the sample space" means.
E1 and E2 form a partition of S if they are mutually exclusive (E1∩E2=∅) and exhaustive (E1∪E2=S), with non-zero probabilities. So exactly one of them must occur.
Step 2 — Conditioning preserves the partition.
Conditioning on an event A (with P(A)>0) just renormalises probabilities inside A; it does not destroy the partition. Formally,
A=(A∩E1)∪(A∩E2),(A∩E1)∩(A∩E2)=∅
Dividing by P(A):
P(A)P(A∩E1)+P(A)P(A∩E2)=P(A)P(A)=1
which is precisely
P(E1∣A)+P(E2∣A)=1
The posterior probabilities of a partition must still sum to 1 — a fact worth remembering, since it turns many Bayes questions into a one-line subtraction.
Step 3 — Substitute the given value.
P(E1∣A)=1−P(E2∣A)=1−21=21 …
- COMEDK 2023Set 2023-E1 markMCQQ.
[!FORMULA] If P(B)=53P(A/B)=21 and P(A∪B)=54 then P(A∪B)′+P(A′∪B)=
(A) 54 (B) 21 (C) 1 (D) 51›Reveal solutionSolution
Step 5: sum = 1/5 + 4/5 = 1.
Concept: conditional probability, addition theorem, complements, De Morgan.
Given P(B) = 3/5, P(A|B) = 1/2, P(A U B) = 4/5.
Step 1: P(A ^ B) = P(A|B) P(B) = (1/2)(3/5) = 3/10.
Step 2: from P(A U B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A ^ B),
P(A) = 4/5 - 3/5 + 3/10 = 1/5 + 3/10 = 1/2.
Step 3: P((A U B)') = 1 - P(A U B) = 1 - 4/5 = 1/5. …
- KCET 2021Set A-11 markMCQQ.Given that A and B are two events such that P(B)=53, P(A/B)=21 and P(A∪B)=54, then P(A)= (A) 103 (B) 21 (C) 51 (D) 53
›Reveal solutionSolution
Turn the conditional probability into P(A∩B), then substitute into the addition theorem and solve for P(A).
Step 1 — Extract P(A∩B) from the conditional probability.
By definition,
P(A/B)=P(B)P(A∩B)(P(B)=0).
Rearranging (the multiplication theorem):
P(A∩B)=P(A/B)⋅P(B)=21×53=103.
This is the key move — the conditional probability is not directly usable in the union formula, but P(A∩B) is.
Step 2 — Apply the addition theorem.
P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B).
The intersection is subtracted because the elements common to A and B would otherwise be counted twice.
Step 3 — Substitute the known values.
54=P(A)+53−103.
Step 4 — Solve for P(A). …
- COMEDK 2025Set 2025-E1 markMCQQ.If A and B are two events such that P(Aˉ)=0.3,P(B)=0.4,P(A∩Bˉ)=0.5, then find the value of P(B/A∪Bˉ) (A) 0.33 (B) 0.7 (C) 0.8 (D) 0.25
›Reveal solutionSolution
The problem asks for a conditional probability P(B∣A∪Bˉ). Using the definition of conditional probability and the given probabilities, we compute P(B∩(A∪Bˉ)) and P(A∪Bˉ), then divide. The final value is 0.25, so the correct option is (D).
We are given:
- P(Aˉ)=0.3, so P(A)=1−0.3=0.7.
- P(B)=0.4.
- P(A∩Bˉ)=0.5.
We need P(B∣A∪Bˉ), which is the probability that B occurs given that A or Bˉ (or both) occurs.
Concept and intuition:
Conditional probability P(X∣Y)=P(Y)P(X∩Y). Here X=B and Y=A∪Bˉ. So we need the probability that both B and (A∪Bˉ) happen, divided by the probability that A∪Bˉ happens. The key is to simplify the intersection B∩(A∪Bˉ) using set algebra — it often collapses to something simpler.
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Simplify the numerator P(B∩(A∪Bˉ))
Using the distributive law:
B∩(A∪Bˉ)=(B∩A)∪(B∩Bˉ)
But B∩Bˉ=∅, so this is just B∩A.
Hence P(B∩(A∪Bˉ))=P(A∩B).
-
Find P(A∩B)
We know P(A)=0.7 and P(A∩Bˉ)=0.5.
Since A=(A∩B)∪(A∩Bˉ) and these are disjoint,
P(A)=P(A∩B)+P(A∩Bˉ)
⇒0.7=P(A∩B)+0.5
⇒P(A∩B)=0.2.
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Find the denominator P(A∪Bˉ)
Use the inclusion-exclusion principle: …
- COMEDK 2024Set 2024-A1 markMCQQ.P and Q are considering to apply for a job. The probability that P applies for the job is 41. The probability that P applies for the job given that Q applies for the job is 21, and the probability that Q applies for the job given that P applies for the job is 31. Then the probability that P does not apply for the job given that Q does not apply for the job is (A) 54 (B) 87 (C) 65 (D) 1211
›Reveal solutionSolution
We are given conditional probabilities and need to find P(P∣Q). Using the definitions of conditional probability and the law of total probability, we compute P(Q) and P(Q), then apply Bayes' theorem to get 54, which corresponds to option (A).
Concept and intuition:
This is a classic problem of working backwards from conditional probabilities to find a joint probability table. We know P(P), P(P∣Q), and P(Q∣P). From these, we can find P(P∩Q) in two ways, which lets us solve for P(Q). Then we can compute the desired conditional probability P(P∣Q) using the complement rule and the definition of conditional probability.
Step-by-step solution:
- Write down what is given. Let P = event that P applies, Q = event that Q applies. We have:
P(P)=41,P(P∣Q)=21,P(Q∣P)=31.
- Use the definition of conditional probability to express P(P∩Q) in two ways. From P(P∣Q)=P(Q)P(P∩Q), we get
P(P∩Q)=P(P∣Q)⋅P(Q)=21P(Q).
From P(Q∣P)=P(P)P(P∩Q), we get
P(P∩Q)=P(Q∣P)⋅P(P)=31⋅41=121.
- Equate the two expressions for P(P∩Q) to find P(Q).
21P(Q)=121⇒P(Q)=61.
- Find P(Q) and P(P∩Q).
P(Q)=1−P(Q)=1−61=65.
Also, P(P∩Q)=P(P)−P(P∩Q)=41−121=123−121=122=61.
- Find P(P∩Q). Since P∩Q is the complement of P∪Q, we can use:
P(P∩Q)=1−P(P∪Q).
First, P(P∪Q)=P(P)+P(Q)−P(P∩Q)=41+61−121. …
- COMEDK 2025Set 2025-M1 markMCQQ.In an entrance test, there are multiple choice questions. There are four possible answers to each question of which only one is correct. The probability that a student knows the answer to a question is 90%. If he gets the correct answer to a question, then the probability that he was guessing is (A) 3736 (B) 91 (C) 371 (D) 4037
›Reveal solutionSolution
We use Bayes’ theorem to reverse the conditional probability: given that the student answered correctly, we want the probability that he was guessing. The answer is 371, so the correct option is (C).
Concept and intuition
This is a classic Bayes’ theorem problem. We have two ways a student can get a correct answer: either he knows the answer (and thus answers correctly for sure), or he guesses (and has a 1 in 4 chance of being correct). We are told the prior probability that he knows the answer is 90%. The question asks: given that he got it right, what’s the chance he was actually guessing? Bayes’ theorem lets us “flip” the conditional probability, using the known likelihoods.
Step-by-step reasoning
- Define events clearly Let K = “student knows the answer”, and G = “student guesses” (so G is the complement of K). Let C = “student gives the correct answer”. We are given:
P(K)=0.9,P(G)=0.1.
-
Conditional probabilities for answering correctly
- If the student knows the answer, he is certain to be correct: P(C∣K)=1.
- If he guesses, he picks randomly among 4 options, so P(C∣G)=41.
-
Find the total probability of a correct answer
By the law of total probability:
P(C)=P(C∣K)P(K)+P(C∣G)P(G)=(1)(0.9)+(41)(0.1)=0.9+0.025=0.925.
- Apply Bayes’ theorem We want P(G∣C), the probability that he was guessing given that he answered correctly:
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