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Mathematics · Ch 14 — Probability Distributions

Probability Distribution of Discrete Random Variables

14.3

Probability Distribution of Discrete Random Variables

To see how a probability distribution is built, consider throwing two fair dice and noting the numbers on their upper faces. The sample space has n(S)=36n(S) = 36 equally likely ordered pairs, S={(1,1),(1,2),…,(6,6)}S = \{(1,1), (1,2), \ldots, (6,6)\}. Let XX be the sum of the two numbers shown in a single throw; then XX can take any of the 11 values {2,3,…,12}\{2, 3, \ldots, 12\}. Each value corresponds to a specific event, for example [X=2]={(1,1)}[X=2] = \{(1,1)\} and [X=3]={(1,2),(2,1)}[X=3] = \{(1,2), (2,1)\}, continuing up to [X=12]={(6,6)}[X=12] = \{(6,6)\}. Because all 36 outcomes are equally likely for fair dice, each has probability 1/361/36, so P[X=2]=P{(1,1)}=1/36P[X=2] = P\{(1,1)\} = 1/36, P[X=3]=P{(1,2),(2,1)}=2/36P[X=3] = P\{(1,2),(2,1)\} = 2/36, P[X=4]=3/36P[X=4] = 3/36, and so on. Listing every value of XX together with its probability produces Table 7.1 — this pairing of values with probabilities is called the probability distribution of the random variable XX.

Generalising this idea: the probability distribution of a discrete random variable XX is the system of numbers obtained by listing its possible values x1,x2,x3,…x_1, x_2, x_3, \ldots alongside the corresponding probabilities p1,p2,p3,…p_1, p_2, p_3, \ldots, where pi=P[X=xi]p_i = P[X = x_i] for i=1,2,3,…i = 1, 2, 3, \ldots. A discrete random variable may have finitely many or (countably) infinitely many possible values, but the values are always countable. The distribution is often written as ordered pairs (x1,p1),(x2,p2),(x3,p3),…(x_1, p_1), (x_2, p_2), (x_3, p_3), \ldots, or, more commonly, laid out in the two-row tabular form of Table 7.2. …

Table 1Table 7.1 – probability distribution of the sum of two dice

| x | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |

|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|----|----|----| …

Table 2Table 7.2 – general tabular form of a discrete probability distribution

| xi | x1 | x2 | x3 | ... |

|---|---|---|---|---| …