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Worked Examples · Example 5

Q.A bag contains 5 red balls and 3 black balls. Two balls are drawn one after another without replacement. Find the probability that both balls drawn are red.

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Step 1 — Find the probability the first ball is red. The bag starts with 55 red ++ 33 black =8=8 balls total. P(1st red)=58P(\text{1st red}) = \dfrac{5}{8}.

Step 2 — Find the conditional probability the second ball is also red, given the first was red. After removing one red ball (without replacement), the bag now has 44 red and 33 black =7=7 balls total. P(2nd red∣1st red)=47P(\text{2nd red}\mid\text{1st red}) = \dfrac{4}{7}.

Step 3 — Apply the multiplication theorem. Since the two draws are dependent (the bag's composition genuinely changes between draws), use the general form:

P(both red)=P(1st red)×P(2nd red∣1st red)=58×47=2056=514P(\text{both red}) = P(\text{1st red})\times P(\text{2nd red}\mid\text{1st red}) = \dfrac{5}{8}\times\dfrac{4}{7} = \dfrac{20}{56} = \dfrac{5}{14} …

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