Q.In a parametric distribution the mean is equal to variance is :
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🔒 Start your 14-day free trial to unlock the full solution →Concept understanding — Poisson Distribution
Poisson Distribution
The Poisson distribution models the number of occurrences of a rare event in a fixed
interval when events happen independently at a constant average rate. If X is
Poisson with parameter λ>0, then
P(X=k)=k!e−λλk,k=0,1,2,…
A defining feature is that the mean equals the variance, both equal to λ:
E(X)=Var(X)=λ.
Typical problems: (i) read λ from the stated average or variance; (ii) form
ratios such as P(X=2)P(X=1)=λ2 to solve for λ;
(iii) evaluate cumulative probabilities like
P(X≥1)=1−e−λ or P(X≤1)=e−λ(1+λ). The Poisson also arises as
the limiting case of a binomial B(n,p) when n→∞, p→0 with np=λ
fixed, which is why binomial conditions (e.g. P(X=1)=P(X=2)) are sometimes used to …
For the Poisson distribution both the mean and the variance equal the parameter λ, so mean = variance. …
The Poisson distribution is the one whose mean equals its variance, both being λ.
For a Poisson distribution with parameter λ:
Mean=λ,Variance=λ. …
Showing the 12 most recent of 16 on this concept.
- CA Foundation 2026Set jan-20261 markMCQQ.If X is a Poisson variate such that P(X=1)=0.3, P(X=2)=0.2, then P(X=0)= (A) e34 (B) e3−1 (C) e3−4 (D) e3−2
›Reveal solutionSolution
Poisson: P(X=k)=k!e−λλk; the ratio of consecutive probabilities isolates λ.
Step 1 — form the ratio.
P(X=1)P(X=2)=e−λλe−λλ2/2!=2λ.
Step 2 — substitute the given probabilities.
2λ=0.30.2=32⇒λ=34.
Step 3 — compute P(X=0).
P(X=0)=e−λ=e−4/3. …
- CA Foundation 2026Set may-20261 markMCQQ.If the standard deviation of a Poisson distribution is 3, then P(X=0) is ________. (A) e−6 (B) e−3 (C) e−9 (D) e−1
›Reveal solutionSolution
Poisson: λ=σ2=9, so P(X=0)=e−λ=e−9.
Step 1 — Get the parameter λ
For a Poisson variable the mean and variance are both λ, hence the standard deviation is λ:
σ=λ=3⇒λ=9
Step 2 — Apply the Poisson probability formula
P(X=x)=x!e−λλx
Step 3 — Put x=0
P(X=0)=0!e−990=e−9 …
- CA Foundation 2025Set jan-20251 markMCQQ.If X is a Poisson variable such that P(X=1)=P(X=2) then the variance is (A) 2 (B) 1 (C) 2 (D) 3
›Reveal solutionSolution
P(X=1)=P(X=2)⇒m=2, and for Poisson variance = mean =2.
Step 1 — Set the two probabilities equal
P(X=1)=e−mm,P(X=2)=2e−mm2
e−mm=2e−mm2
Step 2 — Solve for the parameter m
Cancel e−mm (with m=0):
1=2m ⇒ m=2
Step 3 — Read off the variance
For a Poisson distribution the mean and variance are both equal to m.
Var(X)=m=2 …
- CA Foundation 2025Set jan-20251 markMCQQ.If 3 percent of ceramic cup manufactured by a company are known to be defective. What is the probability that a sample of 100 cups are taken from the production process, of that company would contain exactly one defective cup? (A) 0.15 (B) 0.03 (C) 0.09 (D) 0.30
›Reveal solutionSolution
Poisson with λ=np=3: P(1)=e−3⋅3≈0.15.
Step 1 — Set up the Poisson approximation
Here n=100 is large and p=0.03 is small, so binomial ≈ Poisson with
λ=np=100×0.03=3
Step 2 — Compute P(X=1)
P(X=r)=r!e−λλr
P(X=1)=e−3⋅1!31=3e−3=3×0.0498=0.1494≈0.15 …
- CA Foundation 2025Set may-20251 markMCQQ.Poisson probability distribution is appropriately applied in (A) The height of students in the university. (B) The distribution of passing of students in university examinations. (C) Tossing of a coin hundred times. (D) Number of deaths by a rare disease.
›Reveal solutionSolution
Poisson applies to counts of rare events with small probability over many trials — the deaths-from-a-rare-disease case.
Step 1 — What Poisson describes
ImportantThe Poisson distribution counts how often a rare event happens in a given time/space, when the number of trials n is large and the success probability p is very small (with λ=np moderate).
Step 2 — Test each option
- (A) Height of students — a CONTINUOUS variable → Normal distribution, not Poisson.
- (B) Passing of students — a proportion of successes with moderate p → Binomial.
- (C) Tossing a coin 100 times — fixed n, p=0.5 (not small) → Binomial. …
- CA Foundation 2025Set may-20251 markMCQQ.If 5% of the families in large population city do not use gas as a fuel, what will be the probability of selecting 10 families in a random sample of 100 families who do not use gas as a fuel ? [Given that e−5=0.0067] (A) 0.038 (B) Zero (C) 0.018 (D) 0.048
›Reveal solutionSolution
Poisson with λ=np=5: P(X=10)=10!e−5510≈0.018.
Step 1 — Find the Poisson parameter
5% of families do not use gas, so in a sample of 100:
λ=np=100×0.05=5
Since p is small and n large, use the Poisson approximation.
Step 2 — Apply the Poisson formula
P(X=x)=x!e−λλx
Step 3 — Substitute x=10, λ=5
P(X=10)=10!e−5×510=36288000.0067×9765625
P(X=10)=362880065429.7≈0.018 …
- CA Foundation 2025Set sep-20251 markMCQQ.An emergency room receives an average of 3 patients per hour. What is the probability that exactly 2 patients arrive in an hour ? (Given : e0=1,e−1=0.367,e−2=0.135,e−3=0.049,e−4=0.018,e−5=0.0067) (A) 0.22 (B) 0.3 (C) 0.27 (D) 0.25
›Reveal solutionSolution
Poisson with λ = 3: P(X=2) = e⁻³·3²/2! = 0.049·9/2 ≈ 0.22.
Step 1 — Identify the model and parameter
Random arrivals at a constant average rate → Poisson, with λ=3 patients per hour.
P(X=x)=x!e−λλx
Step 2 — Substitute x = 2
P(X=2)=2!e−3⋅32=20.049×9=20.441=0.2205
Rounded, P(X=2)≈0.22.
Why the other options are wrong: 0.30, 0.27, 0.25 result from using the wrong power of λ or the wrong value of e−3 (e.g. mixing up e−2 with e−3). …
- CA Foundation 2024Set sep-20241 markMCQQ.The number of accidents in a year attributed to taxi drivers in a locality follows Poisson distribution with average 2. Out of 500 taxi drivers of that area, what is the number of drivers with at least 3 accidents in a year ? (Given that e = 2.718) (A) 162 (B) 180 (C) 201 (D) 190
›Reveal solutionSolution
P(X≥3)=1−P(0)−P(1)−P(2)=0.3233; expected drivers =500×0.3233≈162.
Step 1 — Poisson probabilities with mean m=2
P(X=x)=x!e−mmx,e−2=2.71821=0.1353
P(0)=e−2=0.1353
P(1)=2e−2=0.2707
P(2)=2!22e−2=2e−2=0.2707
Step 2 — Probability of at least 3 accidents
P(X≥3)=1−(0.1353+0.2707+0.2707)=1−0.6767=0.3233
Step 3 — Expected number of such drivers
500×0.3233=161.6≈162
Why the other options are wrong …
- CA Foundation 2024Set sep-20241 markMCQQ.If a random variable X follows Poisson distribution such that P(X=1)=P(X=2), then the mean of the distribution is : (A) 2 (B) 1 (C) 0 (D) 1/2
›Reveal solutionSolution
P(1)=P(2)⇒m=2m2⇒m=2.
Step 1 — Write the two probabilities
P(X=1)=1!e−mm1=me−m
P(X=2)=2!e−mm2=2m2e−m
Step 2 — Equate and cancel e−m
me−m=2m2e−m⇒m=2m2
Step 3 — Solve
2m=m2⇒m2−2m=0⇒m(m−2)=0
m=0 is rejected (a Poisson mean must be positive), so m=2. For a Poisson distribution the mean equals m.
Why the other options are wrong
- (B) 1, (D) 1/2 do not satisfy m=m2/2. …
- CA Foundation 2023Set jun-20231 markMCQQ.Between 9 AM and 10 AM, the average number of phone calls per minute coming into the switchboard of a company is 4. Find the probability that during one particular minute, there will be either 2 phone calls or no phone calls (given e−4=0.018316). (A) 0.156 (B) 0.165 (C) 0.149 (D) 0.194
›Reveal solutionSolution
P(0) + P(2) = 0.018316 + 0.146528 ≈ 0.165 for a Poisson mean of 4.
Step 1 — Model as Poisson
Calls per minute follow Poisson with λ=4, so P(X=x)=x!e−λλx.
Step 2 — Compute P(0) and P(2)
P(0)=e−4=0.018316
P(2)=2!e−442=0.018316×216=0.018316×8=0.146528
Step 3 — Add the mutually exclusive cases
P(0 or 2)=0.018316+0.146528=0.164844≈0.165
Watch out"Either 2 or none" means add P(2) and P(0); do not multiply them — these are mutually exclusive counts, not independent events. …
- CA Foundation 2023Set jun-20231 markMCQQ.If a Poisson distribution is such that P(X=2)=31P(X=3), then the standard deviation of the distribution is : (A) 3 (B) 3 (C) 2 (D) 1
›Reveal solutionSolution
Solving P(X=2)=⅓P(X=3) gives λ=9, so SD = √λ = 3.
Step 1 — Write the Poisson probabilities
P(X=2)=2!e−λλ2,P(X=3)=3!e−λλ3.
Step 2 — Apply the given relation
2λ2=31⋅6λ3=18λ3.
Divide by λ²: 21=18λ⇒λ=9.
Step 3 — Standard deviation
For Poisson, variance = mean = λ, so SD=λ=9=3. …
- CA Foundation 2022Set dec-20221 markMCQQ.If a Poisson distribution is such that P(X=2)=P(X=3) then the variance of the distribution is (A) 3 (B) 3 (C) 6 (D) 9
›Reveal solutionSolution
P(X=2)=P(X=3) ⇒ λ = 3, and variance = λ = 3.
Step 1 — Equate the probabilities
2!e−λλ2=3!e−λλ3
Step 2 — Simplify
21=6λ⇒λ=3
Step 3 — Variance
For Poisson, mean = variance = λ, so variance = 3.
Watch out(A) √3 confuses variance with standard deviation; for Poisson the variance itself is λ. …
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