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Mathematics · Ch 10 — Ordinary Differential Equations

Population growth

10.8.1

Population growth

Consider the growth of a population — human, animal, or a bacteria colony — as a function of time tt. Let x(t)x(t) denote the population size at time tt; although genuinely integer-valued, x(t)x(t) is approximated as a differentiable function so the tools of differential equations can be applied.

Model. If the population grows at a rate directly proportional to the population already present,

dxdt=kx,k>0 (since the population is increasing).\dfrac{dx}{dt}=kx,\qquad k>0\ \text{(since the population is increasing)}.

Solution. This is separable: dxx=k dt\dfrac{dx}{x}=k\,dt, integrating to x(t)=Cektx(t)=Ce^{kt}; writing x0x_0 for the population at t=0t=0 gives C=x0C=x_0, so

x(t)=x0ekt.x(t)=x_0e^{kt}.

The population therefore increases exponentially with time — this is the Malthusian law of population growth. …