Business Mathematics and Statistics · Ch 8 — Descriptive Statistics and Probability
Addition Theorem of Probability
Addition Theorem of Probability
A frequent business question involves the probability that one event OR another occurs — will a customer buy product A or product B, will a machine fail due to fault X or fault Y. The addition theorem answers exactly this, for two events and defined on the same sample space:
Addition Theorem (General Form)
The subtraction of exists precisely because, when and overlap (share some common outcomes), simply adding and would double-count every outcome that lies in both.
Mutually exclusive events are events that cannot occur together — they share no common outcome at all, so , and the formula simplifies:
Addition Theorem for Mutually Exclusive Events
A classic example of mutually exclusive events: rolling a single die and getting 'an even number' versus 'an odd number' — no outcome is both, so the two probabilities can simply be added. By contrast, 'an even number' and 'a number greater than 3' on a die do overlap (both include 4 and 6), so the general (subtract-the-overlap) form must be used instead. …
, the probability that or (or both) occurs; the overlap is subtracted to …
Events with no outcome in common (); for these, , since there is no …