Worked Examples · Example 11
Q.
A firm is considering three courses of action under three possible states of nature (demand conditions), with the profit (₹'000) payoff table below. The probabilities of the states of nature are not known. Determine the action recommended by (a) the Maximax criterion, (b) the Maximin criterion, (c) the Minimax Regret (Savage) criterion, and (d) the Laplace criterion.
| 200 | 200 | 200 | |
| 100 | 300 | 300 | |
| 50 | 200 | 400 |
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Start your 14-day free trial to unlock the full solution →- Maximax (optimist): row maxima are , , . The highest row maximum is 400 → recommends .
- Maximin (Wald, pessimist): row minima are , , . The highest row minimum is 200 → recommends .
- Minimax Regret (Savage): build the regret table by subtracting each payoff from its column's best payoff. Column bests: , , .
| Max regret | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200 | ||||
| 100 | ||||
| 150 |
The smallest of the row maximum regrets is → recommends .
(d) Laplace (equal probability): average payoff per action, each state weighted :
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