Q.An urn contains 10 black and 5 white balls. Two balls are drawn from the urn one after the other without replacement. What is the probability that both drawn balls are black?
Concept understanding — Conditional Probability
Conditional Probability
Roll a die and ask "what is the chance of an even number?" — that is 3/6. But suppose someone tells you the result is greater than 3. Now you are no longer looking at all six faces, only at {4,5,6}, and two of those (4 and 6) are even, so the probability becomes 2/3. That change — from the probability of A to the probability of A given that B has already occurred — is conditional probability.
The Idea: Shrink the Sample Space
Conditioning on B throws away every outcome where B is false and treats B as the new "whole world." You measure A only against what is still possible.
Think of filtering a table of data: unconditional probability uses every row; conditional probability keeps only the rows where the condition is true.
The Definition
For events A and B with P(B)>0,
P(A∣B)=P(B)P(A∩B).
We divide by P(B) to rescale so that B itself has probability 1; the surviving part of A is the overlap A∩B. Checking the die: P(A∩B)=P({4,6})=62 and P(B)=63, so P(A∣B)=3/62/6=32, matching the intuition.
Rearranging gives the multiplication rule P(A∩B)=P(A∣B)P(B), which is usually the easier way to compute a joint probability when a problem says "given that."
Two Cautions
- P(A∣B) and P(B∣A) are generally not equal; swapping them is the classic mistake. They are linked by Bayes' theorem, P(A∣B)=P(B)P(B∣A)P(A).
- If P(A∣B)=P(A), then knowing B tells you nothing about A — the events are independent. That is a special case, not the general rule.
Conditional probability is the foundation of the multiplication theorem, independence, and Bayes' theorem — every "given that" question in this chapter rests on it.
Conditional Probability opens the CBSE Class 12 Probability chapter and is foundational for everything that follows in that unit, including Bayes' theorem and the multiplication rule — making "conditional probability formula class 12 with examples" one of the most searched topics in Class 12 Mathematics. It is equally important for JEE Main and CUET, where conditional probability questions are set almost every year.
Concept: Conditional Probability — the probability of the second event depends on the outcome of the first because there is no replacement.
Step 1: Total balls = 10+5=15.
Probability that the first ball is black:
P(first black)=1510=32
Step 2: After removing one black ball, remaining balls = 14, black balls left = 9.
Probability that the second ball is black, given the first was black:
P(second black∣first black)=149
Step 3: Multiply the probabilities (chain rule for conditional probability):
P(both black)=32×149=4218=73
The probability that both drawn balls are black is 73.
The probability that both drawn balls are black is 73. This is found by multiplying the probability of drawing a black ball first by the conditional probability of drawing a black ball second, given the first was black.
Why conditional probability works here
When we draw without replacement, the outcome of the first draw changes the composition of the urn for the second draw. That’s the heart of conditional probability: we want P(first black AND second black), which we can write as:
P(first black)×P(second black∣first black)
This is not just a formula — it’s common sense. If the first ball is black, the urn now has 9 black and 5 white balls left. The second draw’s probability depends entirely on what happened first.
For any two events A and B:
P(A∩B)=P(A)⋅P(B∣A)
Step-by-step solution
1. Probability that the first ball is black
Total balls initially: 10+5=15.
Black balls: 10.
So:
P(first black)=1510=32
2. Probability that the second ball is black, given the first was black
After removing one black ball, the urn has:
- Black balls left: 10−1=9
- Total balls left: 15−1=14
Thus:
P(second black∣first black)=149
3. Multiply the two probabilities
P(both black)=32×149=4218=73
A common mistake is to treat the draws as independent and write 1510×1510. That would be correct only if the ball were replaced. Without replacement, the denominator and numerator both shrink — ignoring that gives the wrong answer 94.
You can also solve this using combinations:
Number of ways to choose 2 black balls from 10: (210)=45
Number of ways to choose any 2 balls from 15: (215)=105
Probability = 10545=73.
This is faster when the order doesn’t matter — but the conditional probability method builds deeper intuition.
The probability that both drawn balls are black is 73.
Method: The multiplication theorem for draws without replacement
Use this whenever objects are drawn one after another without replacement and you want the probability that a specific sequence occurs, because each draw changes what remains.
Steps
Step 1: Write the joint event as a chain of conditionals.
P(A∩B)=P(A)P(B∣A).
The second factor is conditional because removing the first object alters the pool.
Step 2: Compute each factor by updating the counts.
Find P(A) from the original composition, then recompute the pool for P(B∣A): subtract one from both the favourable count and the total (e.g. 1510 then 149).
Step 3: Multiply.
Multiply the successive probabilities. As a check, the combinations method (kfavourable)/(ktotal) gives the same answer when order does not matter.
Common Mistakes
Mistake 1: Treating the two draws as independent (with replacement).
Why it's wrong: without replacement the urn shrinks, so the second probability is 149, not 1510 again; using 1510×1510 gives the wrong 94. Correct approach: use P(both black)=1510×149=73.
Mistake 2: Forgetting to reduce the total from 15 to 14 for the second draw.
Why it's wrong: one ball has already been removed, so both the black count and the total drop by one. Correct approach: update numerator and denominator together at each step.
Showing the 12 most recent of 30 on this concept.
- TG EAPCET 2022Set eng-2022-07-18-FN1 markMCQQ.Two balls are drawn at random from a bag containing 5 black balls and 3 white balls. If the random variable X denotes the number of white balls drawn, then the mean of X is (A) 21 (B) 85 (C) 43 (D) 83
›Reveal solutionSolution
The mean (expected value) of the number of white balls drawn when picking two balls without replacement from 5 black and 3 white balls is 43. The correct option is (C).
We are drawing two balls without replacement from a small finite set. The random variable X counts how many white balls appear. The mean (expected value) is just the average number of whites we’d see if we repeated the draw many times.
Key insight: Instead of listing all outcomes and probabilities, we can use the linearity of expectation. Each ball drawn is like a “mini-experiment”: define an indicator for whether the first ball is white, and another for the second. The expected number of whites is simply the sum of the probabilities that each individual draw yields a white ball. This works even though the draws are dependent — expectation adds regardless.
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Define indicator variables
Let I1=1 if the first ball is white, 0 otherwise.
Let I2=1 if the second ball is white, 0 otherwise.
Then X=I1+I2.
-
Find the probability the first ball is white
Initially there are 3 white balls out of 8 total.
P(I1=1)=83.
- Find the probability the second ball is white By symmetry (or by the law of total probability), the chance the second ball is white is also 83. Why? Because without any information about the first draw, the second ball is equally likely to be any of the 8 original balls. So
P(I2=1)=83.
- Apply linearity of expectation
E[X]=E[I1+I2]=E[I1]+E[I2]=83+83=86=43.
TipA common pitfall is to think the second draw’s probability changes because the first draw removed a ball. But without conditioning on the first result, the second draw still has a 83 chance of being white — symmetry saves us.
Watch outDo not compute the distribution of X from scratch unless you enjoy extra work. The direct method (listing P(X=0),P(X=1),P(X=2)) gives the same answer but is slower. Here, linearity makes it a one-liner.
✓Final answerThe correct option is (C).
ANSWER: C
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- TG EAPCET 2021Set eng-2021-08-04-FN1 markMCQQ.If P(BA)=103, P(AB)=54 and P(A∪B)=KP(B), then K1= (A) 4940 (B) 4340 (C) 101100 (D) 1
›Reveal solutionSolution
The key idea is to use the definitions of conditional probability to relate P(A∩B) to P(A) and P(B), then express P(A∪B) in terms of P(B) alone. The result is K1=4340.
We are given two conditional probabilities and a relation involving the union. The goal is to find K1, where P(A∪B)=KP(B). This is a problem about linking conditional probabilities to the basic probability of events, so we start by writing down what each conditional means.
Recall: P(A/B)=P(B)P(A∩B) and P(B/A)=P(A)P(A∩B). These are not symmetric — each gives a different ratio. Our job is to use them to find P(A) and P(A∩B) in terms of P(B), then compute P(A∪B).
- From P(A/B) we get P(A∩B) in terms of P(B).
P(A/B)=103⇒P(B)P(A∩B)=103
So
P(A∩B)=103P(B).
- From P(B/A) we get P(A) in terms of P(A∩B).
P(B/A)=54⇒P(A)P(A∩B)=54
Hence
P(A)=45P(A∩B).
- Substitute the expression for P(A∩B) from step 1 into step 2.
P(A)=45⋅103P(B)=4015P(B)=83P(B).
So P(A) is 83 of P(B).
- Now write P(A∪B) using the inclusion-exclusion formula.
P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B).
Substitute the expressions we have:
P(A∪B)=83P(B)+P(B)−103P(B).
- Combine the terms over a common denominator. The denominators are 8, 1, and 10. The LCM is 40. So:
83=4015,1=4040,103=4012.
Therefore:
P(A∪B)=(4015+4040−4012)P(B)=4043P(B).
- Compare with the given relation P(A∪B)=KP(B). We have P(A∪B)=4043P(B), so K=4043. Hence
K1=4340.
Watch outA common mistake is to treat P(A/B) and P(B/A) as if they were the same, or to forget that P(A∩B) appears in both but must be expressed consistently. Always write the definition first.
✓Final answerThe value is 4340, which corresponds to option (B).
- TG EAPCET 2025Set eng-2025-05-02-AN1 markMCQQ.A, B1, B2, B3 are the events in a random experiment. If P(B1)=0.25, P(B2)=0.30, P(B3)=0.45, P(B1A)=0.05, P(B2A)=0.04, P(B3A)=0.03, then P(AB2)= (A) 196 (B) 198 (C) 1912 (D) 195
›Reveal solutionSolution
This is a classic Bayes’ theorem problem: we are given prior probabilities for three mutually exclusive events and the conditional probabilities of A given each, and we need the posterior probability of B2 given A. The answer is 196, which corresponds to option (A).
We start with the concept: Bayes’ theorem lets us “reverse” conditional probabilities. Here, we know P(A∣Bi) and want P(B2∣A). The key is that the Bi form a partition of the sample space (they are the only possible “causes” of A), so we can compute P(A) using the law of total probability, then apply Bayes’ formula.
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Identify the given data
- P(B1)=0.25, P(B2)=0.30, P(B3)=0.45
- P(A∣B1)=0.05, P(A∣B2)=0.04, P(A∣B3)=0.03 The events B1,B2,B3 are mutually exclusive and exhaustive (their probabilities sum to 1), so they form a partition.
-
Compute the total probability of A
By the law of total probability:
P(A)=P(B1)P(A∣B1)+P(B2)P(A∣B2)+P(B3)P(A∣B3)
Substitute:
P(A)=(0.25)(0.05)+(0.30)(0.04)+(0.45)(0.03)
Calculate each term:
- 0.25×0.05=0.0125
- 0.30×0.04=0.0120
- 0.45×0.03=0.0135 Sum:
P(A)=0.0125+0.0120+0.0135=0.0380
- Apply Bayes’ theorem for P(B2∣A) Bayes’ theorem states:
P(B2∣A)=P(A)P(B2)P(A∣B2)
Plug in the numbers:
P(B2∣A)=0.03800.30×0.04=0.03800.0120
- Simplify the fraction Divide numerator and denominator by 0.002 (or multiply by 1000 to clear decimals):
0.03800.0120=3812=196
So P(B2∣A)=196.
TipA common pitfall is forgetting to compute P(A) correctly — students sometimes use only the numerator. Always check that the denominator is the total probability of A, not just one term.
✓Final answerThe correct option is (A).
ANSWER: A
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- TG EAPCET 2024Set eng-2024-05-11-FN1 markMCQQ.The numbers 2, 3, 5, 7, 11, 13 are written on six distinct paper chits. If 3 of them are chosen at random, then the probability that the sum of the numbers on the obtained chits is divisible by 3, is (A) 207 (B) 206 (C) 205 (D) 51
›Reveal solutionSolution
The key idea is to classify each number by its remainder modulo 3, then count only those 3‑card combinations whose remainders sum to a multiple of 3. The probability is 207, which corresponds to option (A).
We have six numbers: 2, 3, 5, 7, 11, 13.
We pick 3 at random. The total number of ways is (36)=20.
We want the probability that the sum of the three chosen numbers is divisible by 3.
Why classify by remainder?
A number’s remainder modulo 3 determines whether it contributes 0, 1, or 2 to the total sum mod 3. The sum of three numbers is divisible by 3 exactly when the sum of their remainders is 0 mod 3. This turns a problem about specific numbers into a simple counting problem about remainder classes.
Step-by-step
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Find each number’s remainder mod 3
- 2≡2
- 3≡0
- 5≡2
- 7≡1
- 11≡2
- 13≡1
So we have:
- Remainder 0: {3} → 1 number
- Remainder 1: {7, 13} → 2 numbers
- Remainder 2: {2, 5, 11} → 3 numbers
-
Which remainder combinations sum to 0 mod 3?
Let (r1, r2, r3) be the remainders of the three chosen numbers. We need r1+r2+r3≡0(mod3).
The possible triples (order doesn’t matter) are:
- (0,0,0) — all three have remainder 0
- (1,1,1) — all three have remainder 1
- (2,2,2) — all three have remainder 2
- (0,1,2) — one of each remainder
No other triple works (e.g., (0,0,1) sums to 1, etc.).
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Count the number of 3‑card combinations for each case
- (0,0,0): Only 1 number with remainder 0, so impossible. Count = 0.
- (1,1,1): Only 2 numbers with remainder 1, so can’t pick 3. Count = 0.
- (2,2,2): We have 3 numbers with remainder 2. Number of ways = (33)=1.
- (0,1,2): Pick 1 from remainder 0 (1 way), 1 from remainder 1 (2 ways), 1 from remainder 2 (3 ways). Total = 1×2×3=6.
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Total favorable outcomes
1+6=7.
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Probability
207
TipA common mistake is to forget that (0,0,0) and (1,1,1) are impossible here because there aren’t enough numbers in those classes. Always check availability before counting.
Watch outDo not just sum remainders of the original numbers — that would be meaningless. The modulo approach is what makes the problem simple.
✓Final answerThe correct option is (A).
ANSWER: A
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- TG EAPCET 2026Set eng-2026-05-09-FN1 markMCQQ.If P(A)=83, P(A∣B)=P(B∣A)=53, then P(A∩B)+P(B)= (A) 4021 (B) 132 (C) 143 (D) 125
›Reveal solutionSolution
We use the given conditional probabilities to set up equations for P(A∩B) and P(B), then solve and sum them. The result is 4021, which corresponds to option (A).
We are told:
- P(A)=83
- P(A∣B)=53
- P(B∣A)=53
We need P(A∩B)+P(B).
Concept and intuition
Conditional probabilities like P(A∣B) relate the probability of the complement of A given B to the joint probability P(A∩B). Since P(A∣B)=P(B)P(A∩B), we can write an equation linking P(B) and P(A∩B). Similarly, P(B∣A) gives a relation between P(A) and P(A∩B). This lets us solve for the unknowns.
Step-by-step solution
- Use P(B∣A) to find P(A∩B) By definition:
P(B∣A)=P(A)P(B∩A)=53
Since P(B∩A)=P(A)−P(A∩B), we have:
P(A)P(A)−P(A∩B)=53
Substitute P(A)=83:
8383−P(A∩B)=53
Multiply both sides by 83:
83−P(A∩B)=53⋅83=409
So:
P(A∩B)=83−409=4015−409=406=203
- Use P(A∣B) to find P(B) By definition:
P(A∣B)=P(B)P(A∩B)=53
Now P(A∩B)=P(B)−P(A∩B). Substitute P(A∩B)=203:
P(B)P(B)−203=53
Multiply both sides by P(B):
P(B)−203=53P(B)
Bring terms together:
P(B)−53P(B)=203
52P(B)=203
So:
P(B)=203⋅25=4015=83
- Compute the required sum
P(A∩B)+P(B)=203+83=406+4015=4021
TipNotice that P(A)=P(B)=83 here — a nice symmetry that emerges from the given numbers.
Watch outA common mistake is to treat P(A∣B) as 1−P(A∣B) incorrectly — that works only if you adjust carefully. Always go back to the definition P(A∣B)=P(B)P(A∩B).
✓Final answerThe correct option is (A).
ANSWER: A
- TG EAPCET 2022Set eng-2022-07-18-FN1 markMCQQ.A pair of dice is thrown twice in succession. The probability of getting prime numbers on both the dice in first throw and composite numbers on both the dice in second throw is (A) 2161 (B) 161 (C) 361 (D) 91
›Reveal solutionSolution
The key idea is to treat the two throws as independent events, multiply their probabilities, and note that each die has 3 prime numbers (2,3,5) and 2 composite numbers (4,6) — 1 is neither. The final probability is 161.
We start by recalling what “prime” and “composite” mean for the numbers 1 through 6 on a standard die.
- Prime numbers on a die: 2, 3, 5 (three numbers).
- Composite numbers on a die: 4, 6 (two numbers).
- Neither: 1 (not prime, not composite).
The problem asks: first throw — both dice show primes; second throw — both dice show composites. The two throws are independent, so we multiply probabilities.
- Probability of both dice showing primes in the first throw For one die, P(prime)=63=21. Since the two dice are independent,
P(both prime)=21×21=41.
- Probability of both dice showing composites in the second throw For one die, P(composite)=62=31. So,
P(both composite)=31×31=91.
- Combine the two independent events The first throw and second throw are independent (the dice don’t remember previous rolls). Therefore,
P(first both prime AND second both composite)=41×91=361.
Watch outA common mistake is to count 1 as composite — it is neither prime nor composite. Also, some forget that “both dice” means squaring the single-die probability.
TipNotice that 41×91=361 matches option (C). Always check whether the problem treats the two throws as independent — here they are, so multiplication is correct.
✓Final answerThe correct option is (C).
ANSWER: C
- TG EAPCET 2026Set eng-2026-05-09-AN1 markMCQQ.In a Poisson distribution with parameter λ, if 5P(X=3)=P(X=5), then P(X=2)= (A) e525 (B) e1050 (C) e630 (D) e840
›Reveal solutionSolution
The key idea is to use the Poisson probability formula P(X=k)=k!e−λλk and the given relation 5P(X=3)=P(X=5) to solve for λ, then compute P(X=2). The final answer is e1050, which corresponds to option (B).
The Poisson distribution models the number of events in a fixed interval when events occur independently at a constant average rate λ. The probability mass function is P(X=k)=k!e−λλk for k=0,1,2,…. Here, the condition 5P(X=3)=P(X=5) gives a direct equation in λ because the e−λ factor cancels, leaving a simple algebraic relation. Once λ is found, plugging into P(X=2) yields the answer.
- Write the given condition using the Poisson formula:
5⋅3!e−λλ3=5!e−λλ5
The factor e−λ cancels on both sides (since λ is finite), giving:
5⋅6λ3=120λ5
- Simplify the equation. Multiply both sides by 120 to clear denominators:
5⋅6λ3⋅120=λ5
Compute 120/6=20, so 5⋅20⋅λ3=λ5, i.e., 100λ3=λ5.
- Assuming λ>0 (since it's a rate parameter), divide both sides by λ3:
100=λ2
Hence λ=10 (we take the positive root because λ is a mean, always positive).
Watch outA common mistake is to forget that λ must be positive. Also, do not cancel λ3 if λ=0 — but λ=0 would make all probabilities zero, which contradicts the given relation (since P(X=3) and P(X=5) would both be zero, making 5⋅0=0 trivially true, but that degenerate case is not intended in such problems). Always check that the solution makes physical sense.
- Now compute P(X=2) with λ=10:
P(X=2)=2!e−10⋅102=2e−10⋅100=50e−10
- Write e−10 as e101, so:
P(X=2)=e1050
TipNotice that the answer choices are all of the form eintegerinteger. Once you find λ=10, the denominator e10 immediately points to option (B). This can be a quick sanity check.
✓Final answerThe value is e1050, which corresponds to option (B).
- TG EAPCET 2023Set eng-2023-05-12-FN1 markMCQQ.Two numbers b and c are chosen at random in succession without replacement from the set {1,2,3,…,9}. Then the probability that x2+bx+c>0, ∀x∈R is (A) 7229 (B) 8132 (C) 14345 (D) 12582
›Reveal solutionSolution
The condition x2+bx+c>0 for all real x is equivalent to the discriminant b2−4c<0. Counting ordered pairs (b,c) from {1,…,9} without replacement that satisfy b2<4c gives 29 favorable outcomes out of 72 total, so the probability is 7229, which is option (A).
Why this approach works
A quadratic x2+bx+c that is always positive (for every real x) must have no real roots and open upward. Since the coefficient of x2 is 1>0, the condition reduces to the discriminant being negative: b2−4c<0, i.e. b2<4c.
We are choosing b and c without replacement from {1,…,9}, so each ordered pair (b,c) with b=c is equally likely. The total number of such ordered pairs is 9×8=72. We just need to count how many of them satisfy b2<4c.
Step-by-step counting
1. Understand the inequality
We need b2<4c. Since c is an integer from 1 to 9, rewrite as c>4b2. For each b, we count the number of c values (different from b) that are strictly greater than b2/4.
2. Compute for each b
- b=1: b2/4=0.25, so c>0.25 means c≥1. All c from 1 to 9 except c=1 (since b=c) work. That gives 8 choices.
- b=2: b2/4=1, so c>1 means c≥2. Excluding c=2 leaves {3,4,5,6,7,8,9} → 7 choices.
- b=3: b2/4=2.25, so c>2.25 means c≥3. Excluding c=3 leaves {4,5,6,7,8,9} → 6 choices.
- b=4: b2/4=4, so c>4 means c≥5. Excluding c=4 (which isn't in this set anyway) gives {5,6,7,8,9} → 5 choices.
- b=5: b2/4=6.25, so c>6.25 means c≥7. Excluding c=5 (not in set) gives {7,8,9} → 3 choices.
- b=6: b2/4=9, so c>9 means c≥10, but max c is 9. No c works → 0 choices.
- b=7: b2/4=12.25, so c>12.25 impossible → 0 choices.
- b=8: b2/4=16, impossible → 0 choices.
- b=9: b2/4=20.25, impossible → 0 choices.
3. Sum the favorable outcomes
Total favorable ordered pairs = 8+7+6+5+3=29.
4. Compute probability
Total ordered pairs without replacement = 9×8=72.
Probability = 7229.
Watch outA common mistake is to treat the selection as with replacement (giving 92=81 total outcomes) or to forget that b and c must be different. The problem explicitly says "without replacement," so ordered pairs with b=c are not allowed.
TipNotice that for b≥6, b2/4≥9, so no c in {1,…,9} can satisfy c>b2/4. This immediately cuts the work to b=1 through 5.
✓Final answerThe correct option is (A).
ANSWER: A
- TG EAPCET 2022Set eng-2022-07-19-FN1 markMCQQ.If A and B are two events of a random experiment such that P(A)=32, P(B)=154 and P(A∩B)=51, then 195[P(B∣(A∪B))+P(A∪B)]= (A) 9 (B) 11 (C) 13 (D) 15
›Reveal solutionSolution
This problem requires us to calculate probabilities of various event combinations (complement, intersection, union) and a conditional probability using fundamental set theory identities. We then substitute these values into the given expression to find the final numerical result. The final value is 11.
To solve this problem, we need to systematically break down the given expression and calculate each probability term using the fundamental rules of probability and set theory. The key is to correctly apply the formulas for complements, unions, intersections, and conditional probabilities, often using set identities to simplify complex event descriptions.
Here's a step-by-step approach:
-
Determine P(A) from P(A):
The probability of an event A and its complement A always sum to 1.
P(A)+P(A)=1
Given P(A)=32, we can find P(A):
P(A)=1−P(A)=1−32=31.
-
Determine P(A∩B) using P(A∩B):
The event A can be partitioned into two mutually exclusive events: A∩B (A and B both occur) and A∩B (A occurs, but B does not).
P(A)=P(A∩B)+P(A∩B)
We are given P(A∩B)=51 and we found P(A)=31.
So, P(A∩B)=P(A)−P(A∩B)=31−51.
To subtract these fractions, we find a common denominator, which is 15:
P(A∩B)=155−153=152.
-
Calculate P(A∪B):
The probability of the union of two events A and B is given by the addition rule.
P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B)
We have P(A)=31, P(B)=154 (given), and P(A∩B)=152 (from Step 2).
P(A∪B)=31+154−152.
Using a common denominator of 15:
P(A∪B)=155+154−152=155+4−2=157.
This is the first part of the sum inside the square root.
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Prepare for P(B∣(A∪B)): Identify the intersection term:
The conditional probability P(X∣Y) is defined as P(Y)P(X∩Y). Here, X=B and Y=(A∪B).
So, we need to find P(B∩(A∪B)).
Using the distributive property of set intersection over union:
B∩(A∪B)=(B∩A)∪(B∩B).
The event B∩B means that event B occurs AND event B does NOT occur, which is impossible. Thus, B∩B=∅.
So, B∩(A∪B)=(B∩A)∪∅=B∩A.
Therefore, P(B∩(A∪B))=P(A∩B).
From Step 2, we know P(A∩B)=152. This is the numerator for our conditional probability.
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Prepare for P(B∣(A∪B)): Calculate P(B):
Similar to Step 1, we use the complement rule for event B.
P(B)=1−P(B).
Given P(B)=154:
P(B)=1−154=1515−4=1511.
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Prepare for P(B∣(A∪B)): Calculate P(A∪B):
This is the denominator for our conditional probability. We use the addition rule for A and B.
P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B)
We have P(A)=31 (from Step 1), P(B)=1511 (from Step 5), and P(A∩B)=51 (given).
P(A∪B)=31+1511−51.
Using a common denominator of 15:
P(A∪B)=155+1511−153=155+11−3=1513.
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Calculate P(B∣(A∪B)):
Now we have both the numerator and the denominator for the conditional probability.
P(X∣Y)=P(Y)P(X∩Y)
P(B∣(A∪B))=P(A∪B)P(B∩(A∪B))=P(A∪B)P(A∩B).
Substituting the values from Step 4 and Step 6:
P(B∣(A∪B))=13/152/15=132.
This is the second part of the sum inside the square root.
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Calculate the sum inside the square root:
We need to find P(B∣(A∪B))+P(A∪B).
From Step 7, P(B∣(A∪B))=132.
From Step 3, P(A∪B)=157.
Sum =132+157.
To add these fractions, find a common denominator, which is 13×15=195.
Sum =13×152×15+15×137×13=19530+19591=19530+91=195121.
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Calculate the final expression:
The expression we need to evaluate is 195[P(B∣(A∪B))+P(A∪B)].
Substitute the sum we just calculated:
195×195121.
The 195 in the numerator and denominator cancel out:
121.
121=11.
The final value is 11. Comparing this with the given options, it matches option (B).
✓Final answerThe value of the expression is 11.
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- TG EAPCET 2024Set eng-2024-05-11-FN1 markMCQQ.If 4 letters are selected at random from the letters of the word PROBABILITY, then the probability of getting a combination of letters in which atleast one letter is repeated is (A) 17043 (B) 6119 (C) 18457 (D) 15529
›Reveal solutionSolution
The multiset PROBABILITY has 9 distinct letters (with B and I each twice). Total 4-letter selections =183; those with a repeat =57, so the probability is 18357=6119, option (B).
Letters of PROBABILITY: P,R,O,B,A,B,I,L,I,T,Y — 11 letters, 9 distinct types, with B and I appearing twice each.
Step 1 — Total number of 4-letter selections (order does not matter).
Count by repetition pattern:
- All four distinct: (49)=126.
- Exactly one repeated pair (B or I) plus two other distinct letters: 2×(28)=2×28=56.
- Two repeated pairs, i.e. {B,B,I,I}: 1 way.
Total=126+56+1=183.
Step 2 — Selections with all distinct letters.
(49)=126.
Step 3 — Selections with at least one repeated letter.
183−126=57.
Step 4 — Probability.
P=18357=6119.
✓Final answerThe required probability is 6119 — option (B).
ANSWER: B
- TG EAPCET 2024Set eng-2024-05-09-FN1 markMCQQ.If the probability that a student selected at random from a particular college is good at mathematics is 0.6, then the probability of having two students who are good at mathematics in a group of 8 students of that college standing in front of the college is (A) 5826×32×7 (B) 5626×32×7 (C) 5628×32×7 (D) 5828×32×7
›Reveal solutionSolution
This is a binomial trial with n=8, p=0.6. P(X=2)=(28)(0.6)2(0.4)6=5828×32×7, option (D).
Binomial model
Each student is independently good at mathematics with probability p=0.6=53, so q=0.4=52. For n=8 students, the number good at mathematics is binomial, and we want exactly two:
P(X=2)=(28)p2q6=(28)(53)2(52)6.
Simplify
(28)=28,(53)2=5232,(52)6=5626.
P(X=2)=28⋅5232⋅5626=5828⋅32⋅26.
Write 28=22×7:
=5822×7×32×26=5828×32×7.
✓Final answerP(exactly two)=5828×32×7. The correct option is (D).
ANSWER: D
- TG EAPCET 2026Set eng-2026-05-10-AN1 markMCQQ.A card is drawn randomly from a well shuffled pack of 52 cards. If A is the event of getting a diamond card and B is the event of getting an ace card, then the probability that exactly one of the events among A and B to occur is (A) 5215 (B) 134 (C) 5217 (D) 135
›Reveal solutionSolution
The probability that exactly one of the events A (diamond) or B (ace) occurs is the sum of their individual probabilities minus twice the probability of both occurring. The result is 5215, which corresponds to option (A).
We want the probability that exactly one of the two events happens — that is, either we draw a diamond that is not an ace, or we draw an ace that is not a diamond. This is a classic "exclusive or" (XOR) situation.
Why this approach works:
If we simply add P(A)+P(B), we count the case where both occur (the ace of diamonds) twice. To get exactly one, we subtract that double-counted overlap once more than usual — hence P(A)+P(B)−2P(A∩B).
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Identify the probabilities of each event individually.
- There are 13 diamonds in a deck of 52, so P(A)=5213=41.
- There are 4 aces, so P(B)=524=131.
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Find the probability that both events occur (the intersection).
- Only one card is both a diamond and an ace: the ace of diamonds.
- So P(A∩B)=521.
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Apply the formula for exactly one event.
- Exactly one of A or B occurs means: (A and not B) or (B and not A).
- The probability is:
P(exactly one)=P(A)+P(B)−2P(A∩B)
- Substitute the values:
5213+524−2⋅521=5213+4−2=5215
- Check against the options.
- 5215 matches option (A).
- For completeness: 134=5216, 5217, and 135=5220 are all different.
TipA quick sanity check: The probability of exactly one is also P(A)+P(B)−2P(A∩B). Many students mistakenly use P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B), which gives "at least one" instead of "exactly one."
Watch outA common pitfall is forgetting to subtract the intersection twice. If you only subtract it once, you get 5216=134, which is option (B) — the probability of at least one, not exactly one.
✓Final answerThe correct option is (A).
ANSWER: A
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