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NCERT Exemplar · Q40

Q.If P(B)=35P(B) = \dfrac{3}{5}, P(A∣B)=12P(A \mid B) = \dfrac{1}{2} and P(A∪B)=45P(A \cup B) = \dfrac{4}{5}, then P((A∪B)′)+P(A′∪B)P((A \cup B)') + P(A' \cup B) equals
(A) 15\dfrac{1}{5}
(B) 45\dfrac{4}{5}
(C) 12\dfrac{1}{2}
(D) 11

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Appeared in past exams:COMEDK 2023· Set 2023-E· 1mexact
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P((A∪B)′)=15P((A\cup B)')=\tfrac15 and P(A′∪B)=45P(A'\cup B)=\tfrac45, so their sum is 11 — option (D).

Setup

We are given P(B)=35, P(A∣B)=12, P(A∪B)=45P(B)=\tfrac35,\ P(A\mid B)=\tfrac12,\ P(A\cup B)=\tfrac45. First recover P(A∩B)P(A\cap B) and P(A)P(A):

P(A∩B)=P(A∣B) P(B)=12⋅35=310,P(A\cap B)=P(A\mid B)\,P(B)=\tfrac12\cdot\tfrac35=\tfrac{3}{10},

P(A)=P(A∪B)−P(B)+P(A∩B)=45−35+310=12.P(A)=P(A\cup B)-P(B)+P(A\cap B)=\tfrac45-\tfrac35+\tfrac{3}{10}=\tfrac12.

First term

By the complement rule, P((A∪B)′)=1−P(A∪B)=1−45=15.P((A\cup B)')=1-P(A\cup B)=1-\tfrac45=\tfrac15.

Second term

Use De Morgan's law: (A′∪B)′=A∩B′(A'\cup B)'=A\cap B', so P(A′∪B)=1−P(A∩B′).P(A'\cup B)=1-P(A\cap B').

Since AA splits into the parts inside and outside BB, P(A∩B′)=P(A)−P(A∩B)=12−310=15.P(A\cap B')=P(A)-P(A\cap B)=\tfrac12-\tfrac{3}{10}=\tfrac15. …

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