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Mathematics · Ch 14 — Probability

Events as Subsets of the Sample Space

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Events as Subsets of the Sample Space

Events as Subsets of the Sample Space

Once the sample space SS of a random experiment is fixed, an event is defined formally as any subset of SS. This is exactly the set-theoretic language from the Sets chapter, now applied to probability.

Event: Any subset E⊆SE \subseteq S is called an event of the random experiment. EE is said to occur on a trial if the outcome of that trial is an element of EE.

For a die thrown once, S={1,2,3,4,5,6}S = \{1,2,3,4,5,6\}. The event "an even number turns up" is E={2,4,6}E = \{2, 4, 6\}, a 33-element subset of SS. If the die actually shows a 44, the event EE has occurred, because 4∈E4 \in E.

Two Special Events

  • The sure event (or certain event) is SS itself — since every outcome belongs to SS, this event occurs on every trial.
  • The impossible event is the empty set ϕ\phi — since no outcome belongs to ϕ\phi, it can never occur.

Simple and Compound Events

An event containing exactly one sample point, such as {3}\{3\}, is called a simple (or elementary) event. An event containing two or more sample points, such as {2,4,6}\{2, 4, 6\}, is called a compound event.

Algebra of Events — 'Not', 'And', 'Or'

Because events are sets, the usual set operations translate directly into everyday event language:

Everyday phraseSet notationMeaning
"not AA"A′A' (also AcA^c), i.e. S−AS - AAA does not occur
"AA and BB"A∩BA \cap Bboth AA and BB occur together
"AA or BB"A∪BA \cup Bat least one of AA, BB occurs