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Mathematics · Ch 14 — Probability

Types of Events — Exhaustive and Mutually Exclusive Events

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Types of Events — Exhaustive and Mutually Exclusive Events

Types of Events — Exhaustive and Mutually Exclusive Events

Two properties of a collection of events matter enormously when their probabilities are combined: whether the events can occur simultaneously, and whether they cover every possible outcome between them.

Mutually Exclusive Events

Two events AA and BB are called mutually exclusive if they cannot occur at the same time, i.e. if A∩B=ϕA \cap B = \phi. Equivalently, no outcome of the experiment belongs to both AA and BB.

AA and BB are mutually exclusive   ⟺  A∩B=ϕ\iff A \cap B = \phi.

For a die thrown once, A={1,3,5}A = \{1, 3, 5\} (odd) and B={2,4,6}B = \{2, 4, 6\} (even) are mutually exclusive, since no number is both odd and even: A∩B=ϕA \cap B = \phi. But A={1,3,5}A = \{1,3,5\} (odd) and C={1,2}C = \{1, 2\} (less than 33) are not mutually exclusive, since 1∈A∩C1 \in A \cap C.

The idea extends to any number of events E1,E2,…,EnE_1, E_2, \dots, E_n: they are (pairwise) mutually exclusive if Ei∩Ej=ϕE_i \cap E_j = \phi for every pair i≠ji \ne j — no two of them can happen together.

Exhaustive Events

A collection of events E1,E2,…,EnE_1, E_2, \dots, E_n is called exhaustive if their union is the whole sample space:

E1∪E2∪⋯∪En=S.E_1 \cup E_2 \cup \cdots \cup E_n = S.

This means every possible outcome of the experiment belongs to at least one of the events — between them, they leave nothing out.

For a die thrown once, A={1,2,3}A = \{1,2,3\} and B={4,5,6}B = \{4,5,6\} are exhaustive, because A∪B={1,2,3,4,5,6}=SA \cup B = \{1,2,3,4,5,6\} = S.

Mutually Exclusive AND Exhaustive Events

Very often, as with A={1,2,3}A = \{1,2,3\} and B={4,5,6}B = \{4,5,6\} above, a collection of events is both mutually exclusive and exhaustive simultaneously: A∩B=ϕA \cap B = \phi and A∪B=SA \cup B = S. Such a collection partitions the sample space into non-overlapping pieces that together account for every outcome — this is exactly the situation Axiom 3 of probability (next section) is built to handle. …