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Q.Three persons viz. Amber, Bonzi and Comet are manufacturing cars which run on petrol and on battery as well. Their production share in the market is 60%, 30% and 10% respectively. Of their respective production capacities, 20%, 10% and 5% cars respectively are electric (or battery operated). (i)(a) What is the probability that a randomly selected car is an electric car? [2]

(OR)
(i)(b) What is the probability that a randomly selected car is a petrol car? [2]
(ii) A car is selected at random and is found to be electric. What is the probability that it was manufactured by Comet? [1]
(iii) A car is selected at random and is found to be electric. What is the probability that it was manufactured by Amber or Bonzi? [1]
CBSECBSE Class XII Board 2025Subjective· 4mImportance★★★★★
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With P(E)=0.155P(E)=0.155: Part (a) P(electric)=0.155=31200P(\text{electric})=0.155=\tfrac{31}{200}; Part (b) P(petrol)=0.845P(\text{petrol})=0.845, P(C∣E)=131P(C\mid E)=\tfrac{1}{31}, P((A∪B)∣E)=3031P((A\cup B)\mid E)=\tfrac{30}{31}.

Define events: A,B,CA,B,C = a car is made by Amber, Bonzi, Comet respectively; EE = the car is electric. Given

P(A)=0.6, P(B)=0.3, P(C)=0.1,P(E∣A)=0.2, P(E∣B)=0.1, P(E∣C)=0.05.P(A)=0.6,\ P(B)=0.3,\ P(C)=0.1,\qquad P(E|A)=0.2,\ P(E|B)=0.1,\ P(E|C)=0.05.

Since A,B,CA,B,C are mutually exclusive and exhaustive (0.6+0.3+0.1=10.6+0.3+0.1=1), they partition the sample space.

Part (a): probability a random car is electric

Total probability: P(E)=P(E∣A)P(A)+P(E∣B)P(B)+P(E∣C)P(C)P(E)=P(E|A)P(A)+P(E|B)P(B)+P(E|C)P(C). …

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