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Q.Assertion (A): In an experiment of throwing an unbiased die, the probability of getting a prime number given that the number appearing on the die is odd is 23\dfrac{2}{3}. Reason (R): For any two events AA and BB, P(A∣B)=P(A∪B)P(B)P(A|B) = \dfrac{P(A \cup B)}{P(B)}. (A) Both Assertion (A) and Reason (R) are true and Reason (R) is the correct explanation of the Assertion (A). (B) Both Assertion (A) and Reason (R) are true but Reason (R) is not the correct explanation of the Assertion (A). (C) Assertion (A) is true and Reason (R) is false. (D) Assertion (A) is false and Reason (R) is true.

CBSECBSE Class XII Board 2026MCQ· 1mImportance★★★★★
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The assertion is true: given the outcome is odd, the probability it is a prime is 23\frac{2}{3}. The reason states the correct conditional probability formula. Since the reason directly justifies the calculation in the assertion, both are true and the reason is the correct explanation.

Concept first — Conditional probability asks: If we already know that event BB has occurred, what is the probability that event AA also occurs? The sample space shrinks from all possible outcomes to just those in BB. The formula P(A∣B)=P(A∩B)P(B)P(A|B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)} is the precise way to compute this reduced probability.

Here, the die is unbiased, so each face {1,2,3,4,5,6}\{1,2,3,4,5,6\} has probability 16\frac{1}{6}. The assertion involves two events:

  • AA: the number is prime. On a die, the primes are 2,3,52,3,5.
  • BB: the number is odd. The odd numbers are 1,3,51,3,5.

The condition "given that the number is odd" means we restrict attention to B={1,3,5}B = \{1,3,5\}. Among these three equally likely outcomes, the primes are 33 and 55 — that's two out of three. So the conditional probability is 23\frac{2}{3}.

Now let's verify step by step using the formula in Reason (R).

  1. Define the events precisely.

    A={2,3,5}A = \{2,3,5\}, B={1,3,5}B = \{1,3,5\}.

    The sample space S={1,2,3,4,5,6}S = \{1,2,3,4,5,6\}.

  2. Compute P(B)P(B).

    BB has 3 outcomes, each with probability 16\frac{1}{6}, so P(B)=36=12P(B) = \frac{3}{6} = \frac{1}{2}.

  3. Compute P(A∩B)P(A \cap B).

    A∩BA \cap B = numbers that are both prime and odd = {3,5}\{3,5\}. That's 2 outcomes, so P(A∩B)=26=13P(A \cap B) = \frac{2}{6} = \frac{1}{3}.

  4. Apply the formula from Reason (R).

P(A∣B)=P(A∩B)P(B)=1/31/2=13×21=23.P(A|B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)} = \frac{1/3}{1/2} = \frac{1}{3} \times \frac{2}{1} = \frac{2}{3}.

This matches the assertion exactly. …

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