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Exercises · Q9

Q.Explain the classical, relative-frequency and axiomatic approaches to probability. What is the main limitation of the classical approach?

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Classical (a priori) approach: P(A)=mnP(A)=\dfrac{m}{n}, computed by counting favourable outcomes (mm) out of total possible outcomes (nn), assuming all nn outcomes are equally likely — computable BEFORE the experiment is ever performed.

Relative-frequency (empirical) approach: P(A)=lim⁡n→∞fnP(A)=\lim_{n\to\infty}\dfrac{f}{n}, estimated by actually repeating the experiment a large number of times and observing how often AA occurs — used precisely when outcomes cannot be assumed equally likely.

Axiomatic approach: defines probability as any function PP satisfying three rules — 0≤P(A)≤10\le P(A)\le1; P(S)=1P(S)=1; and additivity, P(A1∪A2∪⋯ )=P(A1)+P(A2)+⋯P(A_1\cup A_2\cup\cdots)=P(A_1)+P(A_2)+\cdots for mutually exclusive events — without reference to counting or repeated trials at all; every formula used elsewhere in the chapter can be derived from these three axioms.

Main limitation of the classical approach: it presumes the outcomes are equally likely, which is often untrue or unverifiable in practice — e.g. it cannot assign a meaningful probability to 'this specific patient recovers' or 'a biased coin shows heads', because there is no valid basis for treating the outcomes as equally likely in either case.

✓Final answer

Classical = pre-experiment counting (requires equally likely outcomes, its key limitation); Relative frequency = long-run observed proportion from repeated trials; Axiomatic = the modern rule-based foundation (Kolmogorov's three axioms) that both other approaches ultimately satisfy.

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