Worked Examples · Example 2
Q.A drawing pin was tossed 500 times, and it landed 'point up' 316 times. Using the relative-frequency (empirical) approach, estimate the probability that the pin lands point up on the next toss.
Gujarat GsebTextbookSubjectiveImportance★★★★★
18% · 8/44 Questions
✓ Free question
Step 1 — Identify why the classical approach does not apply. A drawing pin's two landing positions (point up / point down) have no reason to be equally likely, unlike a fair coin's two faces — so (classical) cannot be used; the relative-frequency (empirical) approach is the correct tool.
Step 2 — Apply the relative-frequency formula.
Dual-check (percentage route): , and expressed as a decimal is — the same figure reached a second, independent way.
✓Final answer
The estimated probability that the pin lands point up is (i.e. 63.2%). This is only an ESTIMATE based on 500 trials — a larger number of trials would generally give an even more reliable estimate.
Unlock everything free for 14 days
- Full step-by-step solutions
- Concept-first explanations
- Methods, shortcuts & mistakes
- PYQ mapping + timed mock tests
Full access for 14 days. No credit card required.