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Exercises · Q7

Q.In a large batch of items, 10% are known to be defective. If a random sample of 6 items is selected, find the probability that at most 1 item is defective. (Assume the number of defectives follows a Binomial distribution.)

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✓ Free question

Step 1 — Set up the Binomial model. n=6n=6 items sampled, p=0.1p=0.1 (probability an item is defective), q=0.9q=0.9. XX = number of defectives, X∼B(6,0.1)X\sim B(6,0.1).

Step 2 — ‘At most 1’ means X=0X=0 or X=1X=1, so P(X≤1)=P(X=0)+P(X=1)P(X\le1)=P(X=0)+P(X=1).

Step 3 — Compute P(X=0)P(X=0).

P(X=0)=(60)(0.1)0(0.9)6=(0.9)6=0.531441P(X=0) = \binom{6}{0}(0.1)^0(0.9)^6 = (0.9)^6 = 0.531441

Step 4 — Compute P(X=1)P(X=1).

P(X=1)=(61)(0.1)1(0.9)5=6×0.1×0.59049=0.354294P(X=1) = \binom{6}{1}(0.1)^1(0.9)^5 = 6 \times 0.1 \times 0.59049 = 0.354294

Step 5 — Add.

P(X≤1)=0.531441+0.354294=0.885735P(X\le1) = 0.531441 + 0.354294 = 0.885735

Dual-solve check (via complement). P(X≤1)=1−P(X≥2)P(X\le1) = 1 - P(X\ge2). Computing P(X=2)=(62)(0.1)2(0.9)4=15×0.01×0.6561=0.098415P(X=2)=\binom62(0.1)^2(0.9)^4=15\times0.01\times0.6561=0.098415, and the remaining terms P(X=3)P(X=3) through P(X=6)P(X=6) together sum to about 0.015850.01585, giving P(X≥2)≈0.098415+0.01585≈0.114265P(X\ge2)\approx0.098415+0.01585\approx0.114265, so P(X≤1)≈1−0.114265=0.885735P(X\le1)\approx1-0.114265=0.885735 — matching Step 5.

✓Final answer

P(X≤1)=0.531441+0.354294=0.885735≈0.8857P(X \le 1) = 0.531441+0.354294 = 0.885735 \approx 0.8857

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