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Exercise 14.2 · Q2

Q.A coin is tossed twice, what is the probability that atleast one tail occurs?

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✓ Free question

The probability of at least one tail in two coin tosses is 34\frac{3}{4}, found by counting the favourable outcomes (HT, TH, TT) out of the four equally likely outcomes.

Why Classical Probability Works Here

When a fair coin is tossed, each toss has two equally likely outcomes: head (H) or tail (T). Since the tosses are independent, the sample space for two tosses consists of all ordered pairs. Classical probability says: if all outcomes are equally likely, the probability of an event is simply the number of favourable outcomes divided by the total number of outcomes. No formulas to memorise — just careful counting.

The common mistake is to think "at least one tail" means "not both heads", which is exactly right. But students often forget that "at least one" includes the case of two tails as well.

Watch out

Do not confuse "at least one tail" with "exactly one tail". The phrase "at least one" includes both one tail and two tails.

Step-by-step solution

  1. List the sample space. For two tosses, the possible outcomes are:

S={HH,HT,TH,TT}S = \{ HH, HT, TH, TT \}

There are 2×2=42 \times 2 = 4 equally likely outcomes.

  1. Identify the favourable outcomes. "At least one tail" means we want outcomes that contain a T in either the first toss, the second toss, or both. These are:

{HT,TH,TT}\{ HT, TH, TT \}

That is 3 outcomes.

  1. Apply the probability formula.

P(at least one tail)=number of favourable outcomestotal number of outcomes=34P(\text{at least one tail}) = \frac{\text{number of favourable outcomes}}{\text{total number of outcomes}} = \frac{3}{4}

Tip

A faster way: the complement of "at least one tail" is "no tails", which means both heads (HH).

P(at least one tail)=1−P(both heads)=1−14=34P(\text{at least one tail}) = 1 - P(\text{both heads}) = 1 - \frac{1}{4} = \frac{3}{4}

This is often quicker and reduces counting errors.

✓Final answer

The probability that at least one tail occurs is 34\boxed{\frac{3}{4}}.

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