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Mathematics and Statistics · Ch 16 — Probability

Random Experiments and Sample Space

1

Random Experiments and Sample Space

Probability is the branch of mathematics that measures how likely an uncertain event is to happen. Before we can measure that likelihood we must describe the situation precisely, and that begins with the idea of a random experiment.

A random experiment is a process that can be repeated any number of times under the same conditions, whose every possible outcome is known in advance, but whose actual outcome on any single trial cannot be predicted with certainty. Tossing a coin, rolling a die, drawing a card from a well-shuffled pack, or picking a ticket from a box are all random experiments — we know the list of possible results, yet not which one will occur.

Each individual result of a random experiment is called an outcome (or a sample point). The set of all possible outcomes is the sample space, denoted SS (some books write UU or Ω\Omega). Every random-experiment analysis starts by writing down SS correctly and counting the outcomes in it, written n(S)n(S).

Note

Some standard sample spaces

  • One coin: S={H,T}S = \{H, T\}, so n(S)=2n(S) = 2.
  • Two coins (or one coin twice): S={HH,HT,TH,TT}S = \{HH, HT, TH, TT\}, n(S)=4n(S) = 4.
  • One die: S={1,2,3,4,5,6}S = \{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6\}, n(S)=6n(S) = 6.
  • Two dice: S={(1,1),(1,2),…,(6,6)}S = \{(1,1), (1,2), \ldots, (6,6)\}, an ordered pair for each, n(S)=6×6=36n(S) = 6 \times 6 = 36.
  • A pack of playing cards: n(S)=52n(S) = 52 (26 red, 26 black; 4 suits of 13; 12 face cards; 4 aces).

When a coin is tossed nn times (or nn coins once), n(S)=2nn(S) = 2^{n}; when a die is rolled nn times, n(S)=6nn(S) = 6^{n}. Counting techniques from the Permutations and Combinations chapter are used constantly here, because a probability can only be as reliable as the count of outcomes behind it. This treatment follows the same probability principles set out in the standard national mathematics curriculum, on which the Maharashtra Std XI Mathematics and Statistics syllabus is based.

Definition 1Random experiment

A process that can be repeated under identical conditions, whose set of possible outcomes is known beforehand but whose actual result on a single trial cannot be predicted with certainty.

Definition 2Sample space (S)

The set of all possible outcomes of a random experiment. The number of outcomes in it is written n(S)n(S).

Definition 3Sample point (outcome)

A single element of the sample space — one possible result of the experiment.