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Exercises · Q9

Q.The regular fluctuations in a time series that complete themselves within one year are called:

(a) secular trend
(b) seasonal variation
(c) cyclical variation
(d) irregular variation
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The key phrase is 'complete themselves within one year'. That is the definition of seasonal variation, which recurs year after year with a fixed period of one year (or less).

  • (a) secular trend — wrong: this is the long-term movement over many years, not a within-year swing.
  • (b) seasonal variation — correct: regular, periodic, completing within a year (e.g. festival or monsoon effects). …

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