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Exercise 13.2 · Q7

Q.Given that the events A and B are such that P(A)=12P(A) = \frac{1}{2}, P(A∪B)=35P(A \cup B) = \frac{3}{5} and P(B)=pP(B) = p. Find pp if they are

(i) mutually exclusive
(ii) independent.
Yanam BieapTextbookSubjective· 3mImportance★★★★★
Appeared in past exams:GUJCET 2024· Set 13· 1mrewordedGUJCET 2023· Set 09· 1mreworded
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For mutually exclusive events, P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) gives p=110p = \frac{1}{10}. For independent events, P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A)P(B)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A)P(B) gives p=15p = \frac{1}{5}.

The key to this problem is understanding the difference between two fundamental relationships between events: mutual exclusivity and independence. These are often confused by students, but they describe completely different things.

Mutually exclusive means the events cannot happen at the same time — their intersection is empty. Independence means the occurrence of one does not affect the probability of the other — their intersection probability is the product of their individual probabilities.

Let's work through each case.

1. Mutually exclusive case

When A and B are mutually exclusive, A∩B=∅A \cap B = \emptyset, so P(A∩B)=0P(A \cap B) = 0.

The addition rule for any two events is:

P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B)

Since P(A∩B)=0P(A \cap B) = 0, this simplifies to:

P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B)

Substitute the given values:

35=12+p\frac{3}{5} = \frac{1}{2} + p

Solve for pp:

p=35−12=610−510=110p = \frac{3}{5} - \frac{1}{2} = \frac{6}{10} - \frac{5}{10} = \frac{1}{10}

Watch out

A common mistake is to forget that mutually exclusive events have zero intersection probability. Some students incorrectly use the independence formula here. Always check: "Can both happen at once?" If no, intersection is zero.

2. Independent case

When A and B are independent, the probability of their intersection is the product of their individual probabilities:

P(A∩B)=P(A)⋅P(B)=12⋅p=p2P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B) = \frac{1}{2} \cdot p = \frac{p}{2}

Now use the full addition rule:

P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B)

Substitute: …

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