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Q.If P(AB)=0.3P\left(\frac{A}{B}\right) = 0.3, P(A)=0.4P(A) = 0.4 and P(B)=0.8P(B) = 0.8, then P(BA)P\left(\frac{B}{A}\right) is equal to:

(a) 0.60.6
(b) 0.30.3
(c) 0.060.06
(d) 0.40.4
CBSECBSE Class XII Board 2023MCQ· 1mImportance★★★★★
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Use the definition of conditional probability to find P(A∩B)P(A \cap B) from the given P(A∣B)P(A|B), then apply it again to compute P(B∣A)P(B|A). The answer is 0.60.6.

Understanding Conditional Probability

Conditional probability measures the likelihood of an event occurring given that another event has already occurred. The notation P(A∣B)P(A|B) reads as "the probability of AA given BB" and is defined as:

P(A∣B)=P(A∩B)P(B)P(A|B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)}

This formula tells us that to find the probability of AA happening when we know BB has happened, we look at the overlap between AA and BB relative to the size of BB itself.

The key insight here is that both P(A∣B)P(A|B) and P(B∣A)P(B|A) depend on the same intersection P(A∩B)P(A \cap B), just normalized by different denominators. Once we know the intersection, we can compute either conditional probability.

Solution

1. Extract the intersection probability

We're given P(A∣B)=0.3P(A|B) = 0.3, P(A)=0.4P(A) = 0.4, and P(B)=0.8P(B) = 0.8. Using the definition of conditional probability:

P(A∣B)=P(A∩B)P(B)P(A|B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)}

Substituting the known values:

0.3=P(A∩B)0.80.3 = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{0.8}

Solving for P(A∩B)P(A \cap B):

P(A∩B)=0.3×0.8=0.24P(A \cap B) = 0.3 \times 0.8 = 0.24 …

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