Question 34 of 41
Q.
Find the trend using four yearly moving averages for the following data showing yearly sales (in lakh ₹) of a shop :
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales (lakh ₹) | 5 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
Gujarat GsebGujarat Board (GSEB) HSC Commerce Board 2025Subjective· 5mImportance★★★★★
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Start your 14-day free trial to unlock the full solution →4-yearly moving averages are centred (2-item average) to give the trend: 2017 → 5.125, 2018 → 5.625, 2019 → 6.5, 2020 → 7.25, 2021 → 8.25, 2022 → 8.875.
GSEB Class-12 Statistics, Time Series (moving average method, even period):
For a 4-yearly moving average the period is even, so the moving averages fall between years and must be centred by taking a further 2-item moving average.
Step 1 — 4-yearly moving totals and averages:
| Year | Sales | 4-yearly moving total | 4-yearly moving average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 5 | ||
| 2016 | 3 | ||
| 2017 | 7 | ||
| 2018 | 6 | ||
| 2019 | 4 | ||
| 2020 | 8 | ||
| 2021 | 9 | ||
| 2022 | 10 | ||
| 2023 | 8 | ||
| 2024 | 9 | ||
| … |
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