Q.State the independent variable of time series.
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A time series is a set of values of a variable recorded in chronological order at successive points or intervals of time. Every real-world time series is understood as the joint outcome of four components: Secular Trend (T) — the smooth long-term direction over many years; Seasonal Variation (S) — regular fluctuations repeating within a year or less (festivals, weather); Cyclical Variation (C) — wave-like swings tied to the business cycle, each wave lasting more than a year; and Irregular/Random Variation (I) — e …
A time series records a variable against time, so time itself is the independent variable. …
In a time series, the independent variable is time, denoted t — option (c).
A time series (GSEB Class-12 Statistics) is a set of observations of a variable arranged in order of time. The observed value yt changes with time, so:
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- CBSE 2026Set MARCH1 markMCQQ.Which component of the time series is impossible to predict?(a) Random component(b) Trend(c) Seasonal component(d) Cyclical component
›Reveal solutionSolution
The random (irregular) component cannot be predicted.
A time series has four components: trend, seasonal, cyclical and random (irregular). Trend, seasonal and cyclical movements follow patterns and can be estimated, but the random component is caused by chance, unforeseen events (natural cala …
- CBSE 2026Set MARCH1 markQ.What is the notation to show the cyclical component of the time series?
›Reveal solutionSolution
The cyclical component of a time series is shown by the notation C.
The four components of a time series are usually written as: Trend =T, Seasonal =S, Cyclical =C, and Random/Irregular =R (or I). Thus the cyclical component is denoted by C (as in the addi …
- CBSE 2025Set MARCH1 markMCQQ.Which variation is shown in increase in the sale of umbrellas of a company due to monsoon?(a) RANDOM(b) Trend(c) Seasonal(d) Cyclical
›Reveal solutionSolution
An increase in umbrella sales caused by the monsoon is a seasonal variation, because it recurs at the same period every year — option (c).
The GSEB Class-12 Statistics Time Series chapter identifies four components: trend, seasonal, cyclical and irregular variation.
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- CBSE 2025Set MARCH1 markMCQQ.State the independent variable of time series.(a) yt(b) St(c) t(d) xt
›Reveal solutionSolution
In a time series, the independent variable is time, denoted t — option (c).
A time series (GSEB Class-12 Statistics) is a set of observations of a variable arranged in order of time. The observed value yt changes with time, so:
…
- CBSE 2023Set MARCH1 markMCQQ.Which variation is shown in “decrease in the agricultural production due to floods”?(a) (A) Random(b) (B) Trend(c) (C) Seasonal(d) (D) Cyclical
›Reveal solutionSolution
A fall in agricultural production due to floods is an unforeseen, non-repeating event — a random (irregular) variation. Option (A).
The components of a time series are trend, seasonal, cyclical and random (irregular). Trend, seasonal and cyclical variations are regular and recurring, whereas variations caused by unpredictable, one-off events such as floods, earthqua …
- CBSE 2023Set MARCH1 markQ.Which of the components of time-series produce short-term variation?
›Reveal solutionSolution
Short-term variation is produced by the seasonal and irregular (random) components.
A time series has four components: trend, seasonal, cyclical and irregular. Trend and cyclical variations operate over long periods (several years), so they are long-term. Variations that occur within a short period (a year or less) are the: …
- CBSE 2022Set MARCH1 markMCQQ.Which variation is shown in 'decrease in production of company' due to strike?(a) Random(b) Trend(c) Seasonal(d) Cyclical
›Reveal solutionSolution
A drop in production caused by a strike is a random (irregular) variation — a sudden, unpredictable, non-recurring effect.
Reasoning. The four components of a time series are trend, seasonal, cyclical and random (irregular). A strike is an unforeseeable, one-off event that does n …
- CBSE 2022Set MARCH1 markQ.What is a time-series?
›Reveal solutionSolution
A time series is a sequence of numerical observations of a variable arranged in order of time.
Definition. A time series is a collection of observations of a variable taken at successive, usually equally-spaced, points or periods of time and arranged in chronological order — for example, monthly sales, yearly production, or daily temperature. Time is the independent variable, and analysing the series …
- CBSE 2020Set MARCH1 markMCQQ.Which types of variations are produced in the time series variable due to seasonal component?(a) Long-term(b) Irregular(c) Regular(d) Zero
›Reveal solutionSolution
The seasonal component produces regular (short-term, periodic) variations — option (c).
A time series has four components: trend (long-term), seasonal, cyclical, and irregular. The seasonal component arises from causes that operate in a fixed, repeating rhythm within a year (weather, festivals, customs), so the fluctuations it causes appear at regular intervals and in a predictable pattern.
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- CBSE 2020Set MARCH1 markQ.What is meant by analysis of time-series?
›Reveal solutionSolution
It is the decomposition of an observed time series into its components (trend, seasonal, cyclical, irregular) so that each can be measured and interpreted.
A time series is a set of values of a variable recorded over successive time periods. The observed values are the combined effect of several forces. Analysis of a time series means identifying and isolating these forces — its components:
- Secular trend — the long-term general movement.
- Seasonal variation — regular short-term (within-a-year) fluctuations.
- Cyclical variation — medium-term ups and downs (business cycles).
- Irregular / random variation — unpredictable, accidental fluctuations. …
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