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Question 18 of 25
Q.

Following table shows the all India infant mortality rates (per '000) for years 1980 to 2010:

Year1980198519901995200020052010
IMR10754310
Fit the trend line to the above data by the method of least squares.
Maharashtra MsbshseMaharashtra HSC (MSBSHSE) Board 2024Subjective· 4mImportance★★★★★
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With u=year−19955u=\dfrac{\text{year}-1995}{5}: ∑Y=30, ∑uY=−44, ∑u2=28\sum Y=30,\ \sum uY=-44,\ \sum u^2=28; hence a=307=4.286a=\dfrac{30}{7}=4.286, b=−4428=−1.571b=\dfrac{-44}{28}=-1.571, giving Y=4.286−1.571uY=4.286-1.571u.

There are 77 years (odd count), equally spaced by 55. Shift the origin to the middle year 1995 and scale: u=year−19955u=\dfrac{\text{year}-1995}{5}, so u=−3,−2,−1,0,1,2,3u=-3,-2,-1,0,1,2,3.

YearYYuuuYuYu2u^2
198010-3-309
19857-2-144
19905-1-51
19954000
20003131
20051224
20100309
Total300-4428
…

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