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Exercise 12.3 · Q5

Q.If for two events AA and BB, P(A)=34P(A) = \dfrac{3}{4}, P(B)=25P(B) = \dfrac{2}{5} and A∪B=SA\cup B = S (the sample space), find the conditional probability P(A/B)P(A/B).

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Step 1. Translate the condition. A∪B=SA\cup B=S means P(A∪B)=P(S)=1P(A\cup B)=P(S)=1.

Step 2. Find P(A∩B)P(A\cap B). By the Addition Theorem: 1=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B)=34+25−P(A∩B)1=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)=\dfrac34+\dfrac25-P(A\cap B). Using LCD 20: 34=1520\dfrac34=\dfrac{15}{20}, 25=820\dfrac25=\dfrac{8}{20}, so 1=1520+820−P(A∩B)=2320−P(A∩B)1=\dfrac{15}{20}+\dfrac{8}{20}-P(A\cap B)=\dfrac{23}{20}-P(A\cap B), giving P(A∩B)=2320−1=320P(A\cap B)=\dfrac{23}{20}-1=\dfrac{3}{20}. …

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