Q.Given three identical boxes I, II and III, each containing two coins. In box I, both coins are gold coins, in box II, both are silver coins and in the box III, there is one gold and one silver coin. A person chooses a box at random and takes out a coin. If the coin is of gold, what is the probability that the other coin in the box is also of gold?
Concept understanding — Conditional Probability
Conditional Probability
Roll a die and ask "what is the chance of an even number?" — that is 3/6. But suppose someone tells you the result is greater than 3. Now you are no longer looking at all six faces, only at {4,5,6}, and two of those (4 and 6) are even, so the probability becomes 2/3. That change — from the probability of A to the probability of A given that B has already occurred — is conditional probability.
The Idea: Shrink the Sample Space
Conditioning on B throws away every outcome where B is false and treats B as the new "whole world." You measure A only against what is still possible.
Think of filtering a table of data: unconditional probability uses every row; conditional probability keeps only the rows where the condition is true.
The Definition
For events A and B with P(B)>0,
P(A∣B)=P(B)P(A∩B).
We divide by P(B) to rescale so that B itself has probability 1; the surviving part of A is the overlap A∩B. Checking the die: P(A∩B)=P({4,6})=62 and P(B)=63, so P(A∣B)=3/62/6=32, matching the intuition.
Rearranging gives the multiplication rule P(A∩B)=P(A∣B)P(B), which is usually the easier way to compute a joint probability when a problem says "given that."
Two Cautions
- P(A∣B) and P(B∣A) are generally not equal; swapping them is the classic mistake. They are linked by Bayes' theorem, P(A∣B)=P(B)P(B∣A)P(A).
- If P(A∣B)=P(A), then knowing B tells you nothing about A — the events are independent. That is a special case, not the general rule.
Conditional probability is the foundation of the multiplication theorem, independence, and Bayes' theorem — every "given that" question in this chapter rests on it.
Conditional Probability opens the CBSE Class 12 Probability chapter and is foundational for everything that follows in that unit, including Bayes' theorem and the multiplication rule — making "conditional probability formula class 12 with examples" one of the most searched topics in Class 12 Mathematics. It is equally important for JEE Main and CUET, where conditional probability questions are set almost every year.
Concept: Conditional Probability — we need P(other coin gold∣first coin gold).
Step 1: Define events.
Let B1, B2, B3 be the events of choosing box I, II, III respectively. Each box is equally likely: P(B1)=P(B2)=P(B3)=31.
Step 2: Probability of drawing a gold coin from each box:
- Box I: both gold → P(gold∣B1)=1
- Box II: no gold → P(gold∣B2)=0
- Box III: one gold → P(gold∣B3)=21
Step 3: By Bayes' theorem,
P(B1∣gold)=P(gold)P(gold∣B1)P(B1)
where P(gold)=1⋅31+0⋅31+21⋅31=31+61=21.
Thus P(B1∣gold)=211⋅31=32.
If the first coin is gold, the other coin is also gold only if the box is Box I. So the required probability is 32.
The probability that the other coin is also gold is 32.
This is a classic conditional probability problem (Bertrand’s box paradox). The key is that the gold coin you drew could have come from any of the three gold coins in the boxes, but only two of those three gold coins are in the all-gold box. So the probability that the other coin is also gold is 32.
Why conditional probability is the right tool
The question asks: Given that the drawn coin is gold, what is the probability that the other coin in the same box is also gold? This is a textbook conditional probability problem — we are restricting our universe to only those outcomes where the first coin is gold, and then asking what fraction of those outcomes also satisfy the condition “the other coin is gold.”
A common mistake is to think that since you picked a gold coin, you must be in either box I or box III, and since those are two boxes, the answer is 21. That reasoning is wrong because the two boxes are not equally likely after you see the gold coin. Box I has two gold coins, so it is twice as likely to produce a gold coin as box III, which has only one. Conditional probability corrects for this imbalance.
Do not fall for the “two boxes, so 1/2” trap. The boxes are not equally likely given the gold coin — box I is twice as likely as box III.
Step-by-step solution
1. Define the events clearly
Let:
- B1 = event that box I (two gold coins) is chosen
- B2 = event that box II (two silver coins) is chosen
- B3 = event that box III (one gold, one silver) is chosen
- G = event that the drawn coin is gold
We want P(other coin is gold∣G). But “other coin is gold” is exactly the same event as “the chosen box is B1” — because only in box I are both coins gold. So we want P(B1∣G).
2. Write down the prior probabilities
Since the box is chosen at random:
P(B1)=P(B2)=P(B3)=31
3. Write down the likelihoods — the probability of drawing a gold coin from each box
- From box I: both coins are gold, so P(G∣B1)=1
- From box II: both coins are silver, so P(G∣B2)=0
- From box III: exactly one gold coin out of two, so P(G∣B3)=21
4. Apply Bayes’ theorem
Bayes’ theorem says:
P(B1∣G)=P(G)P(G∣B1)⋅P(B1)
We already have the numerator: 1⋅31=31.
Now find P(G), the total probability of drawing a gold coin. By the law of total probability:
P(G)=P(G∣B1)P(B1)+P(G∣B2)P(B2)+P(G∣B3)P(B3)
P(G)=1⋅31+0⋅31+21⋅31=31+0+61=21
So:
P(B1∣G)=2131=31×12=32
A faster way: there are 3 gold coins total (two in box I, one in box III). All are equally likely to be drawn. Two of those three gold coins come from box I. So the probability is 32 — no fractions needed.
5. Interpret the result
Given that you drew a gold coin, there is a 32 chance that you are in box I, meaning the other coin is also gold. Only 31 of the time are you in box III, where the other coin is silver.
The required probability is 32.
Method: Bayes' Theorem (finding the cause from the observed outcome)
Use this whenever you observe an outcome and are asked for the probability of the underlying cause — the conditioning is reversed (you know the chance of a gold coin given each box, but want the chance of a particular box given that a gold coin appeared).
Steps
Step 1: Set up the partition of possible causes.
List the mutually exclusive, exhaustive hypotheses (here: the coin came from box I, II or III) and write their prior probabilities P(Ei) (these must sum to 1).
Step 2: Write each likelihood.
For each cause, state P(A∣Ei) — the probability of the observed outcome (here: drawing a gold coin) under that cause.
Step 3: Get the total probability of the outcome (the denominator).
By the law of total probability,
P(A)=∑iP(Ei)P(A∣Ei).
Step 4: Apply Bayes' theorem for the cause you want.
P(Ek∣A)=∑iP(Ei)P(A∣Ei)P(Ek)P(A∣Ek).
The numerator is just the one term of the denominator that belongs to the cause you are asked about — so the answer is that cause's share of the total chance of the outcome.
Key subtlety: the causes are not equally likely after the observation. A box holding more gold is more likely to have produced the gold coin, so weight each cause by both its prior and its likelihood — never assume the surviving boxes are 50–50.
Common Mistakes
Mistake 1: "The gold coin is in box I or box III, so the answer is 21."
Why it's wrong: after seeing a gold coin the two boxes are not equally likely — box I (two gold coins) is twice as likely to have produced a gold coin as box III (one gold coin). Correct approach: weight by the likelihoods, giving 32.
Mistake 2: Setting P(gold∣box III)=1.
Why it's wrong: box III has one gold and one silver, so the chance of drawing its gold coin is 21. Correct approach: use P(gold∣box III)=21.
Mistake 3: Answering the prior P(box I)=31 instead of the posterior.
Why it's wrong: the question conditions on having drawn a gold coin. Correct approach: compute P(box I∣gold) via Bayes' theorem.
Showing the 12 most recent of 30 on this concept.
- TG EAPCET 2025Set eng-2025-05-02-AN1 markMCQQ.A, B1, B2, B3 are the events in a random experiment. If P(B1)=0.25, P(B2)=0.30, P(B3)=0.45, P(B1A)=0.05, P(B2A)=0.04, P(B3A)=0.03, then P(AB2)= (A) 196 (B) 198 (C) 1912 (D) 195
›Reveal solutionSolution
This is a classic Bayes’ theorem problem: we are given prior probabilities for three mutually exclusive events and the conditional probabilities of A given each, and we need the posterior probability of B2 given A. The answer is 196, which corresponds to option (A).
We start with the concept: Bayes’ theorem lets us “reverse” conditional probabilities. Here, we know P(A∣Bi) and want P(B2∣A). The key is that the Bi form a partition of the sample space (they are the only possible “causes” of A), so we can compute P(A) using the law of total probability, then apply Bayes’ formula.
-
Identify the given data
- P(B1)=0.25, P(B2)=0.30, P(B3)=0.45
- P(A∣B1)=0.05, P(A∣B2)=0.04, P(A∣B3)=0.03 The events B1,B2,B3 are mutually exclusive and exhaustive (their probabilities sum to 1), so they form a partition.
-
Compute the total probability of A
By the law of total probability:
P(A)=P(B1)P(A∣B1)+P(B2)P(A∣B2)+P(B3)P(A∣B3)
Substitute:
P(A)=(0.25)(0.05)+(0.30)(0.04)+(0.45)(0.03)
Calculate each term:
- 0.25×0.05=0.0125
- 0.30×0.04=0.0120
- 0.45×0.03=0.0135 Sum:
P(A)=0.0125+0.0120+0.0135=0.0380
- Apply Bayes’ theorem for P(B2∣A) Bayes’ theorem states:
P(B2∣A)=P(A)P(B2)P(A∣B2)
Plug in the numbers:
P(B2∣A)=0.03800.30×0.04=0.03800.0120
- Simplify the fraction Divide numerator and denominator by 0.002 (or multiply by 1000 to clear decimals):
0.03800.0120=3812=196
So P(B2∣A)=196.
TipA common pitfall is forgetting to compute P(A) correctly — students sometimes use only the numerator. Always check that the denominator is the total probability of A, not just one term.
✓Final answerThe correct option is (A).
ANSWER: A
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- TG EAPCET 2025Set eng-2025-05-02-AN1 markMCQQ.Let P=147258369 be a matrix. Three elements of this matrix P are selected at random. A is the event of having the three elements whose sum is odd. B is the event of selecting the three elements which are in a row or column. Then P(A)+P(BA)= (A) 420221 (B) 2117 (C) 2021 (D) 23
›Reveal solutionSolution
We compute the probability that three randomly chosen entries sum to an odd number, then the conditional probability of that event given they lie in a single row or column, and add them. The result simplifies to 2117, which is option (B).
Concept & Intuition
The matrix has 9 entries. We pick 3 of them uniformly at random.
- For event A (odd sum), we need to count how many triples have an odd total. Since odd/even depends only on parity, we first classify the 9 numbers by parity: 1,3,5,7,9 are odd (5 odds); 2,4,6,8 are even (4 evens). The sum of three numbers is odd iff we have an odd number of odd entries among them — i.e., 1 or 3 odds.
- For event B (all in one row or one column), we count triples that lie entirely in a single row (3 rows, each row has 3 entries → 1 triple per row) or entirely in a single column (3 columns, each column has 3 entries → 1 triple per column). That gives 3+3=6 triples.
- Then P(A/B) is the fraction of those 6 triples that also have an odd sum.
We compute both probabilities and add them.
Step-by-step
- Total number of ways to choose 3 entries from 9
(39)=84.
- Count triples with odd sum (event A)
- Case 1: exactly 1 odd, 2 evens Choose 1 odd from 5 odds: (15)=5 Choose 2 evens from 4 evens: (24)=6 Total: 5×6=30 triples.
- Case 2: exactly 3 odds, 0 evens Choose 3 odds from 5 odds: (35)=10 Total: 10 triples.
- So ∣A∣=30+10=40. Hence
P(A)=8440=2110.
- Count triples in a row or column (event B)
- Rows: 3 rows, each row has exactly 1 triple (all three entries). So 3 triples.
- Columns: 3 columns, each column has exactly 1 triple. So 3 triples.
- Total: ∣B∣=6. Hence
P(B)=846=141.
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Count triples that are both in a row/column AND have odd sum (event A∩B)
Check each row and column for odd sum:
- Row 1: {1,2,3} → sum = 6 (even) → not in A.
- Row 2: {4,5,6} → sum = 15 (odd) → in A.
- Row 3: {7,8,9} → sum = 24 (even) → not in A.
- Column 1: {1,4,7} → sum = 12 (even) → not in A.
- Column 2: {2,5,8} → sum = 15 (odd) → in A.
- Column 3: {3,6,9} → sum = 18 (even) → not in A. So exactly 2 triples (row 2 and column 2) satisfy both. Hence ∣A∩B∣=2.
-
Conditional probability P(A/B)
P(A/B)=∣B∣∣A∩B∣=62=31.
- Add the two probabilities
P(A)+P(A/B)=2110+31=2110+217=2117.
TipA common mistake is to compute P(A/B) using the full sample space instead of restricting to B. Always remember: conditional probability uses only the outcomes in B as the denominator.
✓Final answerThe correct option is (B).
ANSWER: B
- TG EAPCET 2024Set eng-2024-05-11-FN1 markMCQQ.The numbers 2, 3, 5, 7, 11, 13 are written on six distinct paper chits. If 3 of them are chosen at random, then the probability that the sum of the numbers on the obtained chits is divisible by 3, is (A) 207 (B) 206 (C) 205 (D) 51
›Reveal solutionSolution
The key idea is to classify each number by its remainder modulo 3, then count only those 3‑card combinations whose remainders sum to a multiple of 3. The probability is 207, which corresponds to option (A).
We have six numbers: 2, 3, 5, 7, 11, 13.
We pick 3 at random. The total number of ways is (36)=20.
We want the probability that the sum of the three chosen numbers is divisible by 3.
Why classify by remainder?
A number’s remainder modulo 3 determines whether it contributes 0, 1, or 2 to the total sum mod 3. The sum of three numbers is divisible by 3 exactly when the sum of their remainders is 0 mod 3. This turns a problem about specific numbers into a simple counting problem about remainder classes.
Step-by-step
-
Find each number’s remainder mod 3
- 2≡2
- 3≡0
- 5≡2
- 7≡1
- 11≡2
- 13≡1
So we have:
- Remainder 0: {3} → 1 number
- Remainder 1: {7, 13} → 2 numbers
- Remainder 2: {2, 5, 11} → 3 numbers
-
Which remainder combinations sum to 0 mod 3?
Let (r1, r2, r3) be the remainders of the three chosen numbers. We need r1+r2+r3≡0(mod3).
The possible triples (order doesn’t matter) are:
- (0,0,0) — all three have remainder 0
- (1,1,1) — all three have remainder 1
- (2,2,2) — all three have remainder 2
- (0,1,2) — one of each remainder
No other triple works (e.g., (0,0,1) sums to 1, etc.).
-
Count the number of 3‑card combinations for each case
- (0,0,0): Only 1 number with remainder 0, so impossible. Count = 0.
- (1,1,1): Only 2 numbers with remainder 1, so can’t pick 3. Count = 0.
- (2,2,2): We have 3 numbers with remainder 2. Number of ways = (33)=1.
- (0,1,2): Pick 1 from remainder 0 (1 way), 1 from remainder 1 (2 ways), 1 from remainder 2 (3 ways). Total = 1×2×3=6.
-
Total favorable outcomes
1+6=7.
-
Probability
207
TipA common mistake is to forget that (0,0,0) and (1,1,1) are impossible here because there aren’t enough numbers in those classes. Always check availability before counting.
Watch outDo not just sum remainders of the original numbers — that would be meaningless. The modulo approach is what makes the problem simple.
✓Final answerThe correct option is (A).
ANSWER: A
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- TG EAPCET 2022Set eng-2022-07-18-FN1 markMCQQ.Two balls are drawn at random from a bag containing 5 black balls and 3 white balls. If the random variable X denotes the number of white balls drawn, then the mean of X is (A) 21 (B) 85 (C) 43 (D) 83
›Reveal solutionSolution
The mean (expected value) of the number of white balls drawn when picking two balls without replacement from 5 black and 3 white balls is 43. The correct option is (C).
We are drawing two balls without replacement from a small finite set. The random variable X counts how many white balls appear. The mean (expected value) is just the average number of whites we’d see if we repeated the draw many times.
Key insight: Instead of listing all outcomes and probabilities, we can use the linearity of expectation. Each ball drawn is like a “mini-experiment”: define an indicator for whether the first ball is white, and another for the second. The expected number of whites is simply the sum of the probabilities that each individual draw yields a white ball. This works even though the draws are dependent — expectation adds regardless.
-
Define indicator variables
Let I1=1 if the first ball is white, 0 otherwise.
Let I2=1 if the second ball is white, 0 otherwise.
Then X=I1+I2.
-
Find the probability the first ball is white
Initially there are 3 white balls out of 8 total.
P(I1=1)=83.
- Find the probability the second ball is white By symmetry (or by the law of total probability), the chance the second ball is white is also 83. Why? Because without any information about the first draw, the second ball is equally likely to be any of the 8 original balls. So
P(I2=1)=83.
- Apply linearity of expectation
E[X]=E[I1+I2]=E[I1]+E[I2]=83+83=86=43.
TipA common pitfall is to think the second draw’s probability changes because the first draw removed a ball. But without conditioning on the first result, the second draw still has a 83 chance of being white — symmetry saves us.
Watch outDo not compute the distribution of X from scratch unless you enjoy extra work. The direct method (listing P(X=0),P(X=1),P(X=2)) gives the same answer but is slower. Here, linearity makes it a one-liner.
✓Final answerThe correct option is (C).
ANSWER: C
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- TG EAPCET 2026Set eng-2026-05-09-FN1 markMCQQ.If P(A)=83, P(A∣B)=P(B∣A)=53, then P(A∩B)+P(B)= (A) 4021 (B) 132 (C) 143 (D) 125
›Reveal solutionSolution
We use the given conditional probabilities to set up equations for P(A∩B) and P(B), then solve and sum them. The result is 4021, which corresponds to option (A).
We are told:
- P(A)=83
- P(A∣B)=53
- P(B∣A)=53
We need P(A∩B)+P(B).
Concept and intuition
Conditional probabilities like P(A∣B) relate the probability of the complement of A given B to the joint probability P(A∩B). Since P(A∣B)=P(B)P(A∩B), we can write an equation linking P(B) and P(A∩B). Similarly, P(B∣A) gives a relation between P(A) and P(A∩B). This lets us solve for the unknowns.
Step-by-step solution
- Use P(B∣A) to find P(A∩B) By definition:
P(B∣A)=P(A)P(B∩A)=53
Since P(B∩A)=P(A)−P(A∩B), we have:
P(A)P(A)−P(A∩B)=53
Substitute P(A)=83:
8383−P(A∩B)=53
Multiply both sides by 83:
83−P(A∩B)=53⋅83=409
So:
P(A∩B)=83−409=4015−409=406=203
- Use P(A∣B) to find P(B) By definition:
P(A∣B)=P(B)P(A∩B)=53
Now P(A∩B)=P(B)−P(A∩B). Substitute P(A∩B)=203:
P(B)P(B)−203=53
Multiply both sides by P(B):
P(B)−203=53P(B)
Bring terms together:
P(B)−53P(B)=203
52P(B)=203
So:
P(B)=203⋅25=4015=83
- Compute the required sum
P(A∩B)+P(B)=203+83=406+4015=4021
TipNotice that P(A)=P(B)=83 here — a nice symmetry that emerges from the given numbers.
Watch outA common mistake is to treat P(A∣B) as 1−P(A∣B) incorrectly — that works only if you adjust carefully. Always go back to the definition P(A∣B)=P(B)P(A∩B).
✓Final answerThe correct option is (A).
ANSWER: A
- TG EAPCET 2026Set eng-2026-05-10-AN1 markMCQQ.A card is drawn randomly from a well shuffled pack of 52 cards. If A is the event of getting a diamond card and B is the event of getting an ace card, then the probability that exactly one of the events among A and B to occur is (A) 5215 (B) 134 (C) 5217 (D) 135
›Reveal solutionSolution
The probability that exactly one of the events A (diamond) or B (ace) occurs is the sum of their individual probabilities minus twice the probability of both occurring. The result is 5215, which corresponds to option (A).
We want the probability that exactly one of the two events happens — that is, either we draw a diamond that is not an ace, or we draw an ace that is not a diamond. This is a classic "exclusive or" (XOR) situation.
Why this approach works:
If we simply add P(A)+P(B), we count the case where both occur (the ace of diamonds) twice. To get exactly one, we subtract that double-counted overlap once more than usual — hence P(A)+P(B)−2P(A∩B).
-
Identify the probabilities of each event individually.
- There are 13 diamonds in a deck of 52, so P(A)=5213=41.
- There are 4 aces, so P(B)=524=131.
-
Find the probability that both events occur (the intersection).
- Only one card is both a diamond and an ace: the ace of diamonds.
- So P(A∩B)=521.
-
Apply the formula for exactly one event.
- Exactly one of A or B occurs means: (A and not B) or (B and not A).
- The probability is:
P(exactly one)=P(A)+P(B)−2P(A∩B)
- Substitute the values:
5213+524−2⋅521=5213+4−2=5215
- Check against the options.
- 5215 matches option (A).
- For completeness: 134=5216, 5217, and 135=5220 are all different.
TipA quick sanity check: The probability of exactly one is also P(A)+P(B)−2P(A∩B). Many students mistakenly use P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B), which gives "at least one" instead of "exactly one."
Watch outA common pitfall is forgetting to subtract the intersection twice. If you only subtract it once, you get 5216=134, which is option (B) — the probability of at least one, not exactly one.
✓Final answerThe correct option is (A).
ANSWER: A
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- TG EAPCET 2026Set eng-2026-05-10-FN1 markMCQQ.Three persons A, B, C planned to have a running race among themselves. If the probability that A wins the race is thrice that of B and the probability that B wins the race is 23 times that of C, then the difference in probabilities of A and C to win the race is (A) 32 (B) 21 (C) 145 (D) 73
›Reveal solutionSolution
With P(A)=149, P(C)=142, the difference is P(A)−P(C)=21.
Let P(C)=p. Then P(B)=23p and P(A)=3P(B)=29p.
The three probabilities sum to 1 (one of them must win):
29p+23p+p=7p=1 ⇒ p=71.
Hence
P(A)=29⋅71=149,P(C)=71=142.
The required difference is
P(A)−P(C)=149−142=147=21.
✓Final answerThe difference in the winning probabilities of A and C is 21 — option (B).
- TG EAPCET 2022Set eng-2022-07-18-FN1 markMCQQ.A pair of dice is thrown twice in succession. The probability of getting prime numbers on both the dice in first throw and composite numbers on both the dice in second throw is (A) 2161 (B) 161 (C) 361 (D) 91
›Reveal solutionSolution
The key idea is to treat the two throws as independent events, multiply their probabilities, and note that each die has 3 prime numbers (2,3,5) and 2 composite numbers (4,6) — 1 is neither. The final probability is 161.
We start by recalling what “prime” and “composite” mean for the numbers 1 through 6 on a standard die.
- Prime numbers on a die: 2, 3, 5 (three numbers).
- Composite numbers on a die: 4, 6 (two numbers).
- Neither: 1 (not prime, not composite).
The problem asks: first throw — both dice show primes; second throw — both dice show composites. The two throws are independent, so we multiply probabilities.
- Probability of both dice showing primes in the first throw For one die, P(prime)=63=21. Since the two dice are independent,
P(both prime)=21×21=41.
- Probability of both dice showing composites in the second throw For one die, P(composite)=62=31. So,
P(both composite)=31×31=91.
- Combine the two independent events The first throw and second throw are independent (the dice don’t remember previous rolls). Therefore,
P(first both prime AND second both composite)=41×91=361.
Watch outA common mistake is to count 1 as composite — it is neither prime nor composite. Also, some forget that “both dice” means squaring the single-die probability.
TipNotice that 41×91=361 matches option (C). Always check whether the problem treats the two throws as independent — here they are, so multiplication is correct.
✓Final answerThe correct option is (C).
ANSWER: C
- TG EAPCET 2023Set eng-2023-05-12-FN1 markMCQQ.Two numbers b and c are chosen at random in succession without replacement from the set {1,2,3,…,9}. Then the probability that x2+bx+c>0, ∀x∈R is (A) 7229 (B) 8132 (C) 14345 (D) 12582
›Reveal solutionSolution
The condition x2+bx+c>0 for all real x is equivalent to the discriminant b2−4c<0. Counting ordered pairs (b,c) from {1,…,9} without replacement that satisfy b2<4c gives 29 favorable outcomes out of 72 total, so the probability is 7229, which is option (A).
Why this approach works
A quadratic x2+bx+c that is always positive (for every real x) must have no real roots and open upward. Since the coefficient of x2 is 1>0, the condition reduces to the discriminant being negative: b2−4c<0, i.e. b2<4c.
We are choosing b and c without replacement from {1,…,9}, so each ordered pair (b,c) with b=c is equally likely. The total number of such ordered pairs is 9×8=72. We just need to count how many of them satisfy b2<4c.
Step-by-step counting
1. Understand the inequality
We need b2<4c. Since c is an integer from 1 to 9, rewrite as c>4b2. For each b, we count the number of c values (different from b) that are strictly greater than b2/4.
2. Compute for each b
- b=1: b2/4=0.25, so c>0.25 means c≥1. All c from 1 to 9 except c=1 (since b=c) work. That gives 8 choices.
- b=2: b2/4=1, so c>1 means c≥2. Excluding c=2 leaves {3,4,5,6,7,8,9} → 7 choices.
- b=3: b2/4=2.25, so c>2.25 means c≥3. Excluding c=3 leaves {4,5,6,7,8,9} → 6 choices.
- b=4: b2/4=4, so c>4 means c≥5. Excluding c=4 (which isn't in this set anyway) gives {5,6,7,8,9} → 5 choices.
- b=5: b2/4=6.25, so c>6.25 means c≥7. Excluding c=5 (not in set) gives {7,8,9} → 3 choices.
- b=6: b2/4=9, so c>9 means c≥10, but max c is 9. No c works → 0 choices.
- b=7: b2/4=12.25, so c>12.25 impossible → 0 choices.
- b=8: b2/4=16, impossible → 0 choices.
- b=9: b2/4=20.25, impossible → 0 choices.
3. Sum the favorable outcomes
Total favorable ordered pairs = 8+7+6+5+3=29.
4. Compute probability
Total ordered pairs without replacement = 9×8=72.
Probability = 7229.
Watch outA common mistake is to treat the selection as with replacement (giving 92=81 total outcomes) or to forget that b and c must be different. The problem explicitly says "without replacement," so ordered pairs with b=c are not allowed.
TipNotice that for b≥6, b2/4≥9, so no c in {1,…,9} can satisfy c>b2/4. This immediately cuts the work to b=1 through 5.
✓Final answerThe correct option is (A).
ANSWER: A
- TG EAPCET 2021Set eng-2021-08-04-FN1 markMCQQ.If P(BA)=103, P(AB)=54 and P(A∪B)=KP(B), then K1= (A) 4940 (B) 4340 (C) 101100 (D) 1
›Reveal solutionSolution
The key idea is to use the definitions of conditional probability to relate P(A∩B) to P(A) and P(B), then express P(A∪B) in terms of P(B) alone. The result is K1=4340.
We are given two conditional probabilities and a relation involving the union. The goal is to find K1, where P(A∪B)=KP(B). This is a problem about linking conditional probabilities to the basic probability of events, so we start by writing down what each conditional means.
Recall: P(A/B)=P(B)P(A∩B) and P(B/A)=P(A)P(A∩B). These are not symmetric — each gives a different ratio. Our job is to use them to find P(A) and P(A∩B) in terms of P(B), then compute P(A∪B).
- From P(A/B) we get P(A∩B) in terms of P(B).
P(A/B)=103⇒P(B)P(A∩B)=103
So
P(A∩B)=103P(B).
- From P(B/A) we get P(A) in terms of P(A∩B).
P(B/A)=54⇒P(A)P(A∩B)=54
Hence
P(A)=45P(A∩B).
- Substitute the expression for P(A∩B) from step 1 into step 2.
P(A)=45⋅103P(B)=4015P(B)=83P(B).
So P(A) is 83 of P(B).
- Now write P(A∪B) using the inclusion-exclusion formula.
P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B).
Substitute the expressions we have:
P(A∪B)=83P(B)+P(B)−103P(B).
- Combine the terms over a common denominator. The denominators are 8, 1, and 10. The LCM is 40. So:
83=4015,1=4040,103=4012.
Therefore:
P(A∪B)=(4015+4040−4012)P(B)=4043P(B).
- Compare with the given relation P(A∪B)=KP(B). We have P(A∪B)=4043P(B), so K=4043. Hence
K1=4340.
Watch outA common mistake is to treat P(A/B) and P(B/A) as if they were the same, or to forget that P(A∩B) appears in both but must be expressed consistently. Always write the definition first.
✓Final answerThe value is 4340, which corresponds to option (B).
- TG EAPCET 2024Set eng-2024-05-09-FN1 markMCQQ.If the probability that a student selected at random from a particular college is good at mathematics is 0.6, then the probability of having two students who are good at mathematics in a group of 8 students of that college standing in front of the college is (A) 5826×32×7 (B) 5626×32×7 (C) 5628×32×7 (D) 5828×32×7
›Reveal solutionSolution
This is a binomial trial with n=8, p=0.6. P(X=2)=(28)(0.6)2(0.4)6=5828×32×7, option (D).
Binomial model
Each student is independently good at mathematics with probability p=0.6=53, so q=0.4=52. For n=8 students, the number good at mathematics is binomial, and we want exactly two:
P(X=2)=(28)p2q6=(28)(53)2(52)6.
Simplify
(28)=28,(53)2=5232,(52)6=5626.
P(X=2)=28⋅5232⋅5626=5828⋅32⋅26.
Write 28=22×7:
=5822×7×32×26=5828×32×7.
✓Final answerP(exactly two)=5828×32×7. The correct option is (D).
ANSWER: D
- TG EAPCET 2024Set eng-2024-05-11-FN1 markMCQQ.If 4 letters are selected at random from the letters of the word PROBABILITY, then the probability of getting a combination of letters in which atleast one letter is repeated is (A) 17043 (B) 6119 (C) 18457 (D) 15529
›Reveal solutionSolution
The multiset PROBABILITY has 9 distinct letters (with B and I each twice). Total 4-letter selections =183; those with a repeat =57, so the probability is 18357=6119, option (B).
Letters of PROBABILITY: P,R,O,B,A,B,I,L,I,T,Y — 11 letters, 9 distinct types, with B and I appearing twice each.
Step 1 — Total number of 4-letter selections (order does not matter).
Count by repetition pattern:
- All four distinct: (49)=126.
- Exactly one repeated pair (B or I) plus two other distinct letters: 2×(28)=2×28=56.
- Two repeated pairs, i.e. {B,B,I,I}: 1 way.
Total=126+56+1=183.
Step 2 — Selections with all distinct letters.
(49)=126.
Step 3 — Selections with at least one repeated letter.
183−126=57.
Step 4 — Probability.
P=18357=6119.
✓Final answerThe required probability is 6119 — option (B).
ANSWER: B
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