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Exercise: Conditional Probability · Q10

Q.A pair of dice is thrown. Find the probability that the sum of the numbers obtained is 88, given that at least one of the dice shows a 55.

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Outcomes with at least one 55: (5,1),…,(5,6),(1,5),…,(4,5)(5,1),\dots,(5,6),(1,5),\dots,(4,5), giving 1111 outcomes (counting (5,5)(5,5) once). Among these, the sum is 88 only for (5,3)(5,3) and (3,5)(3,5), so ∣A∩B∣=2|A\cap B|=2. Hence P(A∣B)=P(A∩B)P(B)=2/3611/36=211P(A\mid B)=\dfrac{P(A\cap B)}{P(B)}=\dfrac{2/36}{11/36}=\dfrac{2}{11}. [!ANSWER] P(A∣B)=211P(A\mid B)=\dfrac{2}{11}.

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