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Exercise 13.1 · Q16

Q.If P(A)=12P(A) = \frac{1}{2}, P(B)=0P(B) = 0, then P(A∣B)P(A|B) is (A) 0 (B) 12\frac{1}{2} (C) not defined (D) 1

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Conditional probability P(A∣B)P(A|B) is defined only when P(B)>0P(B) > 0. Since P(B)=0P(B) = 0, the expression is not defined.

Why This Problem Tests a Definition, Not a Calculation

Many students see P(A∣B)=P(A∩B)P(B)P(A|B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)} and try to plug numbers in. But the denominator here is zero — and division by zero is not allowed in mathematics. The question isn't really about AA or BB; it's about whether the definition of conditional probability applies at all.

Conditional probability P(A∣B)P(A|B) answers: "Given that BB has happened, what is the chance that AA also happens?" If BB has zero probability, it can never occur — so the question "given BB" becomes meaningless. You cannot condition on an impossible event.

Watch out

A common mistake is to think P(A∣B)=P(A)P(A|B) = P(A) when AA and BB are independent, or to assume P(A∩B)=0P(A \cap B) = 0 and then conclude P(A∣B)=0P(A|B) = 0. Both are wrong here because the formula itself is invalid when P(B)=0P(B) = 0.

Step-by-Step Reasoning

  1. Recall the definition of conditional probability. For any two events AA and BB, the conditional probability of AA given BB is

P(A∣B)=P(A∩B)P(B)P(A|B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)}

This formula is valid only when P(B)>0P(B) > 0. If P(B)=0P(B) = 0, the expression is undefined — you cannot divide by zero.

  1. Check the given values.

    We have P(B)=0P(B) = 0. That means BB is an event that occurs with zero probability — an impossible event (or a null event in the probability space).

  2. Apply the definition. …

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