Q.Compute P(A∣B), if P(B)=0.5 and P(A∩B)=0.32.
Concept understanding — Conditional Probability
Conditional Probability
Roll a die and ask "what is the chance of an even number?" — that is 3/6. But suppose someone tells you the result is greater than 3. Now you are no longer looking at all six faces, only at {4,5,6}, and two of those (4 and 6) are even, so the probability becomes 2/3. That change — from the probability of A to the probability of A given that B has already occurred — is conditional probability.
The Idea: Shrink the Sample Space
Conditioning on B throws away every outcome where B is false and treats B as the new "whole world." You measure A only against what is still possible.
Think of filtering a table of data: unconditional probability uses every row; conditional probability keeps only the rows where the condition is true.
The Definition
For events A and B with P(B)>0,
P(A∣B)=P(B)P(A∩B).
We divide by P(B) to rescale so that B itself has probability 1; the surviving part of A is the overlap A∩B. Checking the die: P(A∩B)=P({4,6})=62 and P(B)=63, so P(A∣B)=3/62/6=32, matching the intuition.
Rearranging gives the multiplication rule P(A∩B)=P(A∣B)P(B), which is usually the easier way to compute a joint probability when a problem says "given that."
Two Cautions
- P(A∣B) and P(B∣A) are generally not equal; swapping them is the classic mistake. They are linked by Bayes' theorem, P(A∣B)=P(B)P(B∣A)P(A).
- If P(A∣B)=P(A), then knowing B tells you nothing about A — the events are independent. That is a special case, not the general rule.
Conditional probability is the foundation of the multiplication theorem, independence, and Bayes' theorem — every "given that" question in this chapter rests on it.
Conditional Probability opens the CBSE Class 12 Probability chapter and is foundational for everything that follows in that unit, including Bayes' theorem and the multiplication rule — making "conditional probability formula class 12 with examples" one of the most searched topics in Class 12 Mathematics. It is equally important for JEE Main and CUET, where conditional probability questions are set almost every year.
Concept: Conditional Probability — the probability of event A given that event B has occurred.
Step 1: Recall the definition of conditional probability:
P(A∣B)=P(B)P(A∩B)
Step 2: Substitute the given values:
P(A∣B)=0.50.32
Step 3: Simplify:
P(A∣B)=0.64
The value is 0.64.
Conditional probability P(A∣B) is the probability of A given B has occurred. Using the formula P(A∣B)=P(B)P(A∩B), we get P(A∣B)=0.50.32=0.64.
Why conditional probability works this way
When we say P(A∣B), we are asking: If we already know B happened, what fraction of that B-world also contains A? The key insight is that conditioning on B shrinks the universe from the whole sample space to just the outcomes where B occurs. So the probability of A in this restricted world is the proportion of B that overlaps with A — which is exactly P(B)P(A∩B).
This is not a definition pulled from thin air. It follows from the idea that probabilities must still sum to 1 in the new, smaller universe. Since P(B) is the total “weight” of that universe, we divide the overlap weight P(A∩B) by it to renormalise.
P(A∣B)=P(B)P(A∩B),provided P(B)>0
Step-by-step
-
Identify what is given.
We know P(B)=0.5 and P(A∩B)=0.32. The problem asks for P(A∣B).
-
Apply the conditional probability formula directly.
There is no need to find P(A) or any other quantity — the formula only needs the intersection and the conditioning event’s probability.
P(A∣B)=P(B)P(A∩B)=0.50.32
-
Perform the division.
0.32÷0.5=0.64. You can think of it as 32/50=16/25=0.64.
-
Interpret the result.
If B occurs, there is a 64% chance that A also occurs. This makes sense because the overlap (0.32) is more than half of B’s probability (0.5).
A common mistake is to confuse P(A∣B) with P(B∣A) or to think it equals P(A∩B). Remember: P(A∣B) is larger than P(A∩B) unless P(B)=1, because you are dividing by a number less than 1.
If you ever forget the formula, draw a Venn diagram. Shade B entirely — that’s your new total. The part of A inside that shaded region is A∩B. The ratio of the shaded overlap to the whole shaded region is P(A∣B).
The value is 0.64.
Method: Applying the conditional-probability definition
Use this whenever you are asked for the probability of one event given another, and you already know (or can find) the joint probability and the probability of the conditioning event.
Steps
Step 1: Identify the conditioning event
The event written after the bar "∣" is assumed to have happened — it becomes the new, shrunken sample space. Note its probability P(B); it must be non-zero.
Step 2: Write the definition
P(A∣B)=P(B)P(A∩B).
The numerator is the overlap of the two events; dividing by P(B) rescales so the conditioning event carries all the probability.
Step 3: Substitute and sense-check
Insert the known joint probability P(A∩B) and P(B), then divide. Check the size: because you divide by P(B)≤1, the result satisfies P(A∣B)≥P(A∩B), and it must still stay within [0,1].
Common Mistakes
Mistake 1: Reporting P(A∣B)=P(A∩B)=0.32 without dividing by P(B).
Why it's wrong: conditioning rescales to the world where B is certain, so you must divide by P(B). Correct approach: P(A∣B)=P(B)P(A∩B)=0.50.32=0.64.
Mistake 2: Dividing the wrong way, P(A∩B)P(B)=0.320.5.
Why it's wrong: that gives 1.5625>1, impossible for a probability — a quick sanity flag. The intersection is always the numerator. Correct approach: 0.50.32=0.64.
Showing the 12 most recent of 69 on this concept.
- AP EAPCET 2025Set eng-2025-05-26-FN1 markMCQQ.If two events A and B are such that P(Aˉ)=0.3, P(B)=0.4 and P(A∩Bˉ)=0.5, then P(B/(A∪Bˉ))= (A) 0.25 (B) 0.6 (C) 0.45 (D) 0.8
›Reveal solutionSolution
This tests careful set manipulation of conditional probability with a compound conditioning event A∪Bˉ. Answer: 0.25.
Concept and Intuition
Conditional probability P(B∣E)=P(E)P(B∩E) works exactly the same way when E is a compound event like A∪Bˉ — we just need to correctly compute P(E) and P(B∩E) using set algebra (distributing intersection over union, and using the fact that B and Bˉ are disjoint).
Step-by-Step Solution
- From P(Aˉ)=0.3, get P(A)=1−0.3=0.7.
- P(A∩Bˉ)=0.5 is given directly, so P(A∩B)=P(A)−P(A∩Bˉ)=0.7−0.5=0.2.
- Compute P(A∪Bˉ) using inclusion-exclusion: P(A∪Bˉ)=P(A)+P(Bˉ)−P(A∩Bˉ). Here P(Bˉ)=1−0.4=0.6, so P(A∪Bˉ)=0.7+0.6−0.5=0.8.
- Compute the numerator P(B∩(A∪Bˉ)): distributing, B∩(A∪Bˉ)=(B∩A)∪(B∩Bˉ). Since B∩Bˉ=∅, this simplifies to just A∩B, with probability 0.2.
- Therefore P(B∣A∪Bˉ)=0.80.2=0.25.
Common Mistakes
- Forgetting that B∩Bˉ is empty and mistakenly adding an extra term.
- Using P(A∩B) directly as P(B)−P(A∩Bˉ) instead of P(A)−P(A∩Bˉ).
✓Final answerThe correct option is (A) — 0.25.
ANSWER: A
- AP EAPCET 2021Set eng-2021-08-25-AN1 markMCQQ.Given P(A)=0.5,P(B)=0.4,P(A∩B)=0.3 then P(A′/B′) is equal to (A) 31 (B) 21 (C) 32 (D) 43
›Reveal solutionSolution
Using De Morgan's law A′∩B′=(A∪B)′ and the conditional probability formula gives P(A′∣B′)=32.
Concept and Intuition
P(A′∣B′) asks: given we're outside B, what's the chance we're also outside A? The key trick is that A′∩B′=(A∪B)′ (De Morgan), which is easy to compute from P(A∪B).
Step-by-Step Solution
- P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B)=0.5+0.4−0.3=0.6.
- P(A′∩B′)=P((A∪B)′)=1−P(A∪B)=1−0.6=0.4.
- P(B′)=1−P(B)=1−0.4=0.6.
- P(A′∣B′)=P(B′)P(A′∩B′)=0.60.4=32.
Common Mistakes
- Trying to compute P(A′∩B′) directly instead of via De Morgan's law and the union probability, leading to more error-prone arithmetic.
✓Final answerThe correct option is (C) — 32.
ANSWER: C
- AP EAPCET 2021Set eng-2021-08-23-FN1 markMCQQ.Let A and B be two events with P(A)=71, P(A/B)=52 and P(B)=72. Then the value P(B/A) is (A) 51 (B) 495 (C) 54 (D) 53
›Reveal solutionSolution
Chain the conditional-probability definition twice: first get P(A∩B) from P(A/B), then get P(B/A) from that.
Concept and Intuition
Conditional probability is defined as P(E/F)=P(F)P(E∩F). Given one conditional probability, we can back out the joint probability P(A∩B), and then use it (with the definition again, but conditioning the other way) to find the other conditional probability.
Step-by-Step Solution
- P(A/B)=P(B)P(A∩B)⇒P(A∩B)=P(A/B)⋅P(B)=52×72=354.
- Now use P(B/A)=P(A)P(A∩B)=1/74/35.
- Dividing by 1/7 is the same as multiplying by 7: 354×7=3528=54.
Common Mistakes
- Mixing up which probability (P(A) or P(B)) belongs in the denominator at each step — always match the given event in the conditioning.
- Forgetting to simplify 28/35 to 4/5.
✓Final answerThe correct option is (C) — 54.
ANSWER: C
- AP EAPCET 2024Set eng-2024-05-20-FN1 markMCQQ.P(A∣A∩B)+P(B∣A∩B)= (A) 1 (B) P(A∪B) (C) P(A∩B) (D) 2
›Reveal solutionSolution
Both conditional probabilities equal 1 because A∩B is a subset of both A and B, so their sum is 2.
Concept and Intuition
Conditioning an event on its own subset (or superset relationship) often collapses to a probability of exactly 1: if E⊆F, then P(F∣E)=1, since knowing E occurred guarantees F occurred too.
Step-by-Step Solution
- P(A∣A∩B)=P(A∩B)P(A∩(A∩B)).
- Since A∩(A∩B)=A∩B (intersecting with A again changes nothing, as A∩B⊆A), this is P(A∩B)P(A∩B)=1.
- Similarly, P(B∣A∩B)=P(A∩B)P(B∩(A∩B))=P(A∩B)P(A∩B)=1.
- Sum =1+1=2.
Common Mistakes
- Trying to expand this using Bayes' theorem unnecessarily — the direct subset observation is much faster.
- Assuming the answer depends on the actual probabilities of A,B (it doesn't — it's always 2, as long as P(A∩B)>0).
✓Final answerThe correct option is (D) — 2.
ANSWER: D
- AP EAPCET 2026Set eng-2026-05-15-FN1 markMCQQ.For a biased die, the probabilities for different faces to turn up are given belowThe die is tossed and you are told that either face 1 or 2 has turned up. Then the probability that it is face 1 is (A) 3310 (B) 215 (C) 218 (D) 421
Face 1 2 3 4 5 6 Probability 0.1 0.32 0.21 0.15 0.05 0.17 ›Reveal solutionSolution
Conditioning on "face 1 or face 2" just means renormalizing the two individual probabilities so they add to 1.
Concept and Intuition
P(face 1∣face 1 or 2)=P(face 1)+P(face 2)P(face 1), since these two events are mutually exclusive and their union is the conditioning event.
Step-by-Step Solution
- P(1)=0.1, P(2)=0.32.
- P(1 or 2)=0.1+0.32=0.42.
- P(1∣1 or 2)=0.420.1=4210=215.
Common Mistakes
- Dividing by the total probability 1 instead of the restricted event's probability 0.42.
- Arithmetic slip simplifying 10/42 (should reduce to 5/21).
✓Final answerThe correct option is (B) — 215.
ANSWER: B
- AP EAPCET 2024Set eng-2024-05-23-FN1 markMCQQ.It is given that in a random experiment events A and B are such that P(A)=41, P(A∣B)=21 and P(B∣A)=32 then P(B)= (A) 31 (B) 32 (C) 21 (D) 61
›Reveal solutionSolution
Using P(B∣A) to find P(A∩B), then dividing by P(A∣B), gives P(B)=31.
Concept and Intuition
The conditional probability definitions P(A∣B)=P(B)P(A∩B) and P(B∣A)=P(A)P(A∩B) share the common quantity P(A∩B) — computing it from one equation lets us solve the other for the unknown probability.
Step-by-Step Solution
- From P(B∣A)=P(A)P(A∩B)=32, and P(A)=41: P(A∩B)=32×41=61.
- From P(A∣B)=P(B)P(A∩B)=21: P(B)=P(A∣B)P(A∩B)=1/21/6=31.
Common Mistakes
- Confusing which conditional probability to use to find P(A∩B) first (must use the one whose conditioning event's total probability, P(A), is already known).
- Dividing instead of multiplying (or vice versa) when rearranging the conditional probability formula.
✓Final answerThe correct option is (A) — 31.
ANSWER: A
- AP EAPCET 2022Set eng-2022-07-05-FN1 markMCQQ.If A and B are two events such that P(B)=0 and P(B)=1, then P(Aˉ∣Bˉ) is (A) 1−P(A∣B) (B) 1−P(Aˉ∣B) (C) P(Bˉ)1−P(A∪B) (D) P(Bˉ)P(Aˉ)
›Reveal solutionSolution
Directly apply the definition of conditional probability together with De Morgan's law; the answer is P(Bˉ)1−P(A∪B).
Concept and Intuition
Conditional probability is defined as P(X∣Y)=P(Y)P(X∩Y). Here X=Aˉ, Y=Bˉ. By De Morgan's law, Aˉ∩Bˉ=A∪B, so its probability is 1−P(A∪B).
Step-by-Step Solution
- P(Aˉ∣Bˉ)=P(Bˉ)P(Aˉ∩Bˉ).
- Aˉ∩Bˉ=A∪B (De Morgan).
- So P(Aˉ∩Bˉ)=1−P(A∪B).
- Substituting: P(Aˉ∣Bˉ)=P(Bˉ)1−P(A∪B).
Common Mistakes
- Confusing Aˉ∩Bˉ with A∩B — these are different sets; De Morgan swaps union and intersection under complementation.
✓Final answerThe correct option is (C) — P(Bˉ)1−P(A∪B).
ANSWER: C
- AP EAPCET 2022Set eng-2022-07-06-FN1 markMCQQ.If E and F are events such that P(Fˉ)=0.7 and P(E∩F)=0.2, then P(E∣F) is (A) 2/3 (B) 1/3 (C) 3/4 (D) 1/4
›Reveal solutionSolution
This tests the basic conditional-probability formula together with the complement rule. P(E∣F)=2/3.
Concept and Intuition
P(E∣F) asks: given that F has already happened, what fraction of that reduced sample space does E∩F occupy? It is always P(F)P(E∩F), so first we need P(F) itself, which is given indirectly through its complement.
Step-by-Step Solution
- P(Fˉ)=0.7⇒P(F)=1−0.7=0.3.
- P(E∩F)=0.2 is given directly.
- P(E∣F)=P(F)P(E∩F)=0.30.2=32.
Common Mistakes
- Forgetting to convert P(Fˉ) to P(F) and dividing by 0.7 instead of 0.3.
- Confusing P(E∣F) with P(F∣E), which would need P(E) instead.
✓Final answerThe correct option is (A) — 2/3.
ANSWER: A
- AP EAPCET 2023Set eng-2023-05-18-AN1 markMCQQ.If A,B are any two events of a random experiment and P(B)=1, then P(A∣Bc)= (A) 1−P(B)P(A)+P(A∩B) (B) 1−P(B)P(A)−P(A∩B) (C) 1+P(B)P(A)+P(A∩B) (D) 1+P(B)P(A)
›Reveal solutionSolution
Direct application of the conditional-probability definition to the complement event gives P(A∣Bc)=1−P(B)P(A)−P(A∩B).
Concept and Intuition
A∩Bc is exactly the part of A that does not overlap with B, so its probability is P(A) minus the overlapping piece P(A∩B). Dividing by P(Bc)=1−P(B) (valid since P(B)=1) gives the conditional probability.
Step-by-Step Solution
- P(A∣Bc)=P(Bc)P(A∩Bc) by definition (needs P(Bc)=0, i.e. P(B)=1, as given).
- A=(A∩B)∪(A∩Bc), a disjoint union, so P(A)=P(A∩B)+P(A∩Bc)⇒P(A∩Bc)=P(A)−P(A∩B).
- P(Bc)=1−P(B).
- Combine: P(A∣Bc)=1−P(B)P(A)−P(A∩B).
Common Mistakes
- Writing P(A∩Bc)=P(A)+P(A∩B) instead of subtracting — a very common sign slip.
- Forgetting the denominator must be P(Bc)=1−P(B), not 1+P(B).
✓Final answerThe correct option is (B) — 1−P(B)P(A)−P(A∩B).
ANSWER: B
- AP EAPCET 2023Set eng-2023-05-16-AN1 markMCQQ.Two dice are rolled. If A denote the event that the same number shows on each die and B denote the event that the sum of the numbers on both dice is greater than 7, then P(A∣B) and P(B∣A) respectively are (A) 52,41 (B) 51,21 (C) 51,41 (D) 21,53
›Reveal solutionSolution
Counting the 36 equally likely dice outcomes directly gives P(A∣B)=51 and P(B∣A)=21.
Concept and Intuition
With two fair dice there are 36 equally likely outcomes, so every probability here reduces to simple counting: enumerate the outcomes in A, in B, and in A∩B, then apply the conditional probability formula P(X∣Y)=P(Y)P(X∩Y) directly as a ratio of counts.
Step-by-Step Solution
- A = "same number on each die": outcomes (1,1),(2,2),(3,3),(4,4),(5,5),(6,6) — 6 outcomes, so P(A)=366.
- B = "sum >7", i.e. sum ∈{8,9,10,11,12}. Counting pairs per sum: sum 8 has 5 pairs, 9 has 4, 10 has 3, 11 has 2, 12 has 1 — total 5+4+3+2+1=15 outcomes, so P(B)=3615.
- A∩B: doubles with sum >7 — check each double: (4,4) sum 8 ✓, (5,5) sum 10 ✓, (6,6) sum 12 ✓; (1,1),(2,2),(3,3) have sums 2,4,6, all ≤7 — excluded. So A∩B has 3 outcomes, P(A∩B)=363.
- P(A∣B)=P(B)P(A∩B)=15/363/36=153=51.
- P(B∣A)=P(A)P(A∩B)=6/363/36=63=21.
Common Mistakes
- Miscounting the number of outcomes with sum >7 (forgetting sum =8 is included since >7 means ≥8).
- Swapping P(A∣B) and P(B∣A) in the final answer.
✓Final answerThe correct option is (B) — 51,21.
ANSWER: B
- AP EAPCET 2024Set eng-2024-05-20-FN1 markMCQQ.A, B, C are mutually exclusive and exhaustive events of a random experiment and E is an event that occurs in conjunction with one of the events A, B, C. The conditional Probabilities of E given the happening of A, B, C are respectively 0.6, 0.3 and 0.1. If P(A)=0.30 and P(B)=0.50, then P(C∣E)= (A) 352 (B) 3515 (C) 3518 (D) 3517
›Reveal solutionSolution
This is a direct Bayes' theorem application over three mutually exclusive, exhaustive causes; P(C∣E)=2/35.
Concept and Intuition
When an event E can occur alongside any of several mutually exclusive, exhaustive causes A,B,C, Bayes' theorem lets us find the probability of a particular cause given that E has occurred, by weighing each cause's prior probability by how likely E is under it, then normalizing.
Step-by-Step Solution
- Since A,B,C are mutually exclusive and exhaustive, P(C)=1−P(A)−P(B)=1−0.30−0.50=0.20.
- Total probability of E: P(E)=P(E∣A)P(A)+P(E∣B)P(B)+P(E∣C)P(C)
=0.6(0.30)+0.3(0.50)+0.1(0.20)=0.18+0.15+0.02=0.35
- By Bayes' theorem: P(C∣E)=P(E)P(E∣C)P(C)=0.350.1×0.2=0.350.02.
- Simplify: 0.350.02=352.
Common Mistakes
- Forgetting to first compute P(C) from the exhaustiveness condition.
- Using P(E) instead of P(E∣C)P(C) in the numerator (or vice versa).
✓Final answerThe correct option is (A) — 352.
ANSWER: A
- AP EAPCET 2022Set eng-2022-07-06-FN1 markMCQQ.Two persons P and Q are considering to apply for a job. The probability that P applies for the job is 1/4, the probability that P applies for the job given that Q applies for the job is 1/2, and the probability that Q applies for the job given that P applies for the job is 1/3. Then the probability that P does not apply for the job given that Q does not apply for the job is (A) 4/5 (B) 5/6 (C) 7/8 (D) 11/12
›Reveal solutionSolution
Chain the given conditional probabilities to find P(Q) and P(P∩Q), then use the complement rule — the answer is (A) 4/5.
Concept and Intuition
Conditional probability definitions let us cross-multiply to recover the joint probability P(P∩Q) from either conditional. Once P(P),P(Q),P(P∩Q) are all known, De Morgan's law converts "neither event" into the complement of the union.
Step-by-Step Solution
- Given: P(P)=41, P(P∣Q)=21, P(Q∣P)=31.
- P(P∩Q)=P(Q∣P)⋅P(P)=31×41=121.
- Also P(P∩Q)=P(P∣Q)⋅P(Q)⇒121=21⋅P(Q)⇒P(Q)=61.
- P(P∪Q)=P(P)+P(Q)−P(P∩Q)=41+61−121=123+122−121=124=31.
- By De Morgan's law, "neither P nor Q applies" is the complement of P∪Q: P(P∩Q)=1−31=32.
- P(Q)=1−P(Q)=1−61=65.
- P(P∣Q)=P(Q)P(P∩Q)=5/62/3=32×56=1512=54.
Common Mistakes
- Mixing up which conditional probability to use for computing the joint probability first (must use P(Q∣P)P(P), not P(P∣Q)P(P), to directly match given data).
- Forgetting to convert to complements at the final step (computing P(P∣Q)-type instead of P(P∣Q)).
✓Final answerThe correct option is (A) — 4/5.
ANSWER: A
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